Standings 2018

[Centerfield]

Spent the day at the airport only to have our flight cancelled. Now we are at some shitty hotel near the airport until 3:30 am when we leave for our new flight, which takes us through St. Paul, Minnesota. Had too many martinis downstairs to remember the actual standings, but I know the Mets are in 1st place and the Nats are not.

Fuck them. Let’s take 2 of 3 this weekend.

[Benjamin Grimm]

As of today, Baseball Prospectus has the Mets at 33% to win the division and 12.8% to win one of the two wild card slots.

Phillies are 36.1% for the division, 12.7% for the wild card.

Nationals are 24.2% and 12.2%.

As for winning the World Series, Phillies are 4.1%, Nationals 4.0%, and Mets 3.0%.

So the Mets are more likely to make the playoffs than the Nationals are, but less likely to win the World Series.

The team with the best World Series chances are the Astros, at 14.5%, followed by the Indians at 14.3%. Other teams over 10% are the Diamondbacks at 10.8 and the Yankees at 10.2.

[Benjamin Grimm]

One thing I've been wanting to see during my lifetime is a team breaking the Mets record of 120 losses in a season. (The 2003 Tigers came oh-so-close, with a 43–119 record.)

And yes, I know it's early, but here at the end of April, there are five teams with a winning percentage below .300.

They are:
[list:2l0thhtq]Miami 7-17 .292
Baltimore 6-18 .250
Chicago (AL) 5-16 .238
Kansas City 5-17 .227
Cincinnati 5-20 .200[/list:u:2l0thhtq]

Our current foes, the Padres, are a relatively robust 9-17 .346. (Texas also has the same record.)

[batmagadanleadoff]

I don't want any team to break that record. It's an integral part of the Mets legacy and it would diminish the legend of Marv Throneberry were some other team to eclipse ths Mets loss mark.

[Edgy MD]

The Mets have climbed out of the National League cellar with their not-awful play this week, passing San Diego and division-rival Miami. If they can surpass Cincinnati, now only a half game ahead, they will have reached the top of the NL's lower class — the leper with the most fingers, as Jake Gittes once said.

If that should come to pass, set your sights on Washington, who would likely take a long slog to catch, currently sitting seven games ahead of our protagonists, but the Mets could visit next week with real stakes on the line!

[Edgy MD]

After a rare series win, the Mets will be two up (breathing room!) on the Marlins if St. Louis TCB's tonight.

Next team to chase in the league-wide standings is this very same Cincinnati squad, a game and half ahead. Matt Harvey, we look to you now.

[Benjamin Grimm]

Well, I'm not going to root for the Mets to lose any particular game, but if it's all the same, I'd rather the Mets draft ahead of the Reds next June.

[Centerfield]

Benjamin Grimm wrote: Well, I'm not going to root for the Mets to lose any particular game, but if it's all the same, I'd rather the Mets draft ahead of the Reds next June.

Ideally, our starting pitching will round into form. Including Vargas who is so awesome down the stretch that someone takes him off our hands. McNeil, Conforto, Nimmo, Plawecki, Rosario, and Dom Smith will be amazing. Frazier will play well enough to be included in the Vargas trade. But costly errors by Jose Reyes and crappy pitching by Jerry Blevins will result in lots of losses.

[Edgy MD]

With tonight's win, the Mets catch and pass Cincinnati, putting them (YAY!) at the top of the National League's lower class, ahead of the Reds, the Padres, and the bottom-dwelling Marlins. The long climb up to middle class begins tomorrow in Phillie, with the Mets sitting 7 1/2 games behind the Nats, playing the Cardinals in St. Louis.

Catch Washington, and it'll be like you're almost respectable.

[Edgy MD]

Passed Cincy again last night. Also pulled within five games of San Francisco. Win today and it's middle class, here we come.

[Edgy MD]

Running out of games, but Pittsburgh, San Francisco, and Washington are all eminently catchable.

[Edgy MD]

As they swept the day away from Miami, the Mets passed the idle Giants in the league-wide standings.

That places them 11th of the 15 National League teams. Next within reach is Pittsburgh, 4 1/2 games in front and idle tonight. They are heading off to a challenging matchup in Milwaukee.

[MFS62]

I tell 'ya, the season is too short.
Add a coupla' more games to the schedule and the Mets will make the playoffs.
Later

[Vic Sage]

If you endlessly extend any story about people's lives, the story will inevitably end in death.
The same is metaphorically true of a Mets season, with only a few exceptions.

[Edgy MD]

The Braves are up 7-4 on the Nats in the top of the seventh. If they hang on, the Mets' elimination number will drop to two, but the Nats are rallying.

[MFS62]

Vic Sage wrote: The same is metaphorically true of a Mets season, with only a few exceptions.

Met-a-Four run support is all they will need, with the way they have been pitching.
Later

[Edgy MD]

The elimination number is down to one in the division race and three in the Wild Card race.

Don't go softly.