m.e.t.b.o.t.

as a pitcher, metropolitan pitcher chris capuano contributed approximately -1.780 WPA, second worst among 2011 metropolitans. as a batter, metropiltan pitcher chris capuano contributed approximately -1.30 WPA, worst among all 2011 metropolitans. taken together, this level of performance was insufficient to score as more valuable than even replacement level. m.e.t.b.o.t. considers the batting component of a pitcher's performance to be a significant potential contributer towards winning baseball games, one which is often overlooked and ignored. were metropolitan pitcher chris capuano only half as bad a batter, he would have scored higher than metropolitan pitcher taylor buchholz, but less than metropolitan catcher ronny paulino.

after an exhaustive analysis, m.e.t.b.o.t. has determined the following rankings for the 2011 new york metropolitans baseball team. m.e.t.b.o.t. attempted to account for both win probability added and playing time in determining a score for each of the players. the score is then used to determine the ranking. m.e.t.b.o.t. ascribes an approximate equivalency rate of -500 adjWPA per 1% adjPT%, meaning that a player with 1% of the total playing time and a WPA of 1000 is equivalent to a player with 2% playing time and a WPA of 500. in this way, players with negative WPA are not necessarily considered to be less valuable than players with higher WPA, as there is benefit to playing in games. it is assumed therefore that a replacement player therefore costs the team a win for every 1% of playing time. in the 2011 season there were 12 new york metropolitan players who contributed to winning games at a level lower than that ascribed to a replacement player. m.e.t.b.o.t. needs to look back into the algorithm change logs to see if the logic and supporting information is available to substantiate the replacement level, but in the meantime, the following is presented for discussion. a graphical representation of these results is forthcoming, pending the successful integration of m.e.t.b.o.t. and image-sharing websites. RankPlayerAdj WPAAdj PT%Score30Beltran30724%486329Reyes18445%434628Duda22983%378727Wright13344%325426Turner8004%287425Tejada10783%270324Murphy8274%263723Bay1964%238822Pagan-1465%213521Dickey-15157%203320Isringhausen11421%187419Davis12291%187218Rodriguez10761%174917Acosta9901%172716Pelfrey-21097%117915Young6841%110414Beato342%108513Batista5491%106212Niese-16575%104911Hairston3611%96710Gee-18376%9149Harris-3702%8188Igarashi2011%8087Thole-9223%7406Paulino-3642%7045Buchholz771%4924Evans-4392%3943Baxter1200%2912Herrera270%1531Pridie-8772%1350Satin-490%67-1Pascucci60%51-2O'Connor-760%23-3Nickeas-2571%1-4Capuano-32136%-48-5Martinez-1480%-54-6Schwinden-4131%-56-7Stinson-3550%-147-8Misch-2700%-160-9Byrdak-8081%-216-10Emaus-4130%-232-11Carrasco-10832%-304-12Hu-4410%-345-13Boyer-5980%-493-14Thayer-7460%-583-15Parnell-30332%-2102

m.e.t.b.o.t. has made the following determinations regarding the relative worth of the 2011 metropolitan outfielders: beltran bay pagan duda hairston

m.e.t.b.o.t. has determined the appropriate ranking for metropolitan infielders to be as follows: reyes wright turner tejada murphy

m.e.t.b.o.t. has determined, via the use of a questionable methodology which has not been subjected to a rigorous peer review, but is presented in brief in the tom seaver award thread, that the metropolitan relief pitchers who offered the greatest total performance are as follows: isringhausen rodriguez acosta beato igarashi

m.e.t.b.o.t. has determined, using the same highly advanced and deeply flawed algorithm as described in the tom seaver award thread, that the top performing metropolitan rookies in 2011 were as follows, in descending order: duda turner beato gee pridie

m.e.t.b.o.t. has determined, using a proprietary and highly suspect algorithm which accounts for both win probability and playing time, that the five metropolitan starting pitchers who performed the best are as follows and in descending order: dickey pelfrey young batista niese the formula m.e.t.b.o.t. used is as follows: score = (500 * adjPT) + adjWPA adjPT = adjusted playing time = 100 * adjPT% adjPT% = adjusted percentage of playing time adjWPA = adjusted win probability added adjusted win probability added is the formula by which m.e.t.b.o.t. determines the appropriate amount of schaefer votes to distribute, using base win probability data and adjusting for defensive errors and web gems. adjusted playing time percentage is described as {[(0.9*innings pitched) / 1448] + [(0.1*defensive innings for non pitchers)/1448] + [(plate appearances / 6335)]} / 2 m.e.t.b.o.t. presumes that pitching accounts for 90% of defense. the denominators in the above equation of 1448 innings pitched and 6335 plate appearances are the total innings pitched and plate appearances for the metropolitans in 2011. by crediting players with their playing time, m.e.t.b.o.t. is not forced to make the assertion that metropolitan first baseman val pascucci, who accrued 0.006 WPA in his 11 plate appearances and 7 defensive innings was a greater performer than metropolitan pitcher r.a. dickey, who accrued -1515 WPA in 208.67 innings pitched and 69 plate appearances.

Batista 5.92 Baxter 1.70 Evans 0.98 Reyes 0.47 Pridie 0.39 Satin 0.28 Wright 0.27

Reyes 2.56 Igarashi 2.32 Thole 1.83 Stinson 0.92 Bay 0.55 Tejada 0.51 Pridie 0.36 Beato 0.35 Byrdak 0.32 Acosta 0.15 Baxter 0.12

Igarashi 5.06 Harris 2.71 Reyes 1.19 Baxter 0.47 Parnell 0.29 Thayer 0.28

Turner 2.34 Pridie 1.40 Pascucci 0.32 Thayer 0.04 Beato 0.04 Stinson 0.02

Harris 3.01 Thole 2.71 Evans 1.61 Pridie 1.26 Parnell 0.97 Acosta 0.38 Herrera 0.07

Pascucci 3.06 Wright 2.40 Acosta 1.28 Parnell 0.99 Dickey 0.79 Tejada 0.47 Reyes 0.44 Satin 0.34 Batista 0.13 Evans 0.10

Tejada 4.08 Harris 2.96 Reyes 0.73 Turner 0.60 Parnell 0.57 Pridie 0.41 Thole 0.33 Igarashi 0.19 Baxter 0.11 Acosta 0.02

Satin 3.91 Harris 1.84 Pagan 1.82 Batista 0.97 Duda 0.70 Schwinden 0.59 Parnell 0.17

in the 17 september game, m.e.t.b.o.t. did not award any schaefer votes to metropolitan pitcher r.a. dickey. while the random aerodynamic behavior of his knuckleball produced positive results in limiting hte atlanta braves to a single run scored, in total, the metropolitan pitcher r.a. dickey netted a total of +0.157 WPA from the mound. this positive contribution was almost entirely negated by his -0.155 WPA as a batter. furthermore, since the metropolitan defensive player committed web gems* behind him, the WPA for these plays was split between the specific defensive player and the pitcher. specifically: in the second inning, with two outs and hte bases empty, atlanta shortstop alex gonzalez hit a foul popup which metropolitan catcher josh thole successfully caught for the out. this was a 0.011 WPA play. accordingly, 0.0055 WPA were debited from metropolitan pitcher r.a. dickey and credited to metropolitan catcher josh thole. in the sixth inning, with no outs and the bases empty, atlanta pitcher tim hudson hit a line drive into left field, where metropolitan left fielder jason bay dove for the ball and succesfully caught it for hte out. this was a 0.033 WPA play. accordingly, 0.0165 WPA were debited from metropolitan pitcher r.a. dickey and credited to metropolitan left fielder jason bay. in the eighth inning, with 1 out and atlanta baserunner jason heyward on second base, atlanta outfielder michael bourn hit a ground ball to second base, where metropolitan secondbaseman dove for, stopped the ball, and threw to first for the out. this was a 0.056 WPA play. accordingly, 0.028 WPA were debited from metropolitan pitcher r.a. dickey and credited to metropolitan secondbaseman reuben tejada. the sum total of WPA debited from metropolitan pitcher r.a. dickey was 0.051 WPA, which reduced his total from +0.002 to -0.049 WPA, and therefore disqualified him from receiving any schaefer votes. *m.e.t.b.o.t. relies on the video highlights from mlb.com to determine whether a defensive effort is considered a web gem, regardless of the fact that the term originated on the baseball tonight program on espn.com. m.e.t.b.o.t. places the blame for this intermingling of brands on the developer of the m.e.t.b.o.t. programming algorithms, in which m.e.t.b.o.t. has little input and over which m.e.t.b.o.t. has no control. if a defensive play is noteworthy enough to merit inclusion in the mlb video highlights for a given game, then it is considred to be evidence of an exemplary defenisve effort, and therefore the defensive player should be awarded a share of the WPA derived from the play. a similar adjustment is made for errors committed by defensive players, only here, the defensive players assume the entireity of the WPA derived from the play. ... in the 20 september game, metropolitan outfielder angel pagan produced a total of +0.390 WPA. this scaled to 6.21 schaefer votes, which exceeds the mximum per-player threshold. accordingly, m.e.t.b.o.t scaled his contribution down to the 6.00 threshold value. m.e.t.b.o.t. does this by inserting a -0.033 WPA into his ledger. this resulted in the remaining positive WPA contributors receiving a slight increase in their schaefer votes. most notably, metropolitan catcher josh thole received an increase from 1.72 to 1.82 WPA. all other increases were lesser. the total schaefer vote for the 20 september game remained at 10.00. had the unadjusted total positive WPA for the game been reduced to less than +0.250, then fewer than 10.00 total points would have been awarded for the game. however, since the subject game saw a total unadjusted positive WPA of +0.628, the total schaefer vote remained at 10.00.

Pagan 6.00 Thole 1.82 Duda 1.63 Reyes 0.54 Thayer 0.02

Tejada 3.48 Acosta 2.01 Paulino 1.83 Bay 0.75 Turner 0.60 Duda 0.57 Herrera 0.53 Evans 0.24

Wright 3.40 Thole 1.92 Tejada 1.49 Reyes 1.09 Bay 0.90 Duda 0.72 Evans 0.29 Batista 0.15 Stinson 0.02 Byrdak 0.02

Tejada 3.88 Thole 1.78 Byrdak 1.56

Wright 4.35 Pagan 3.71 Stinson 0.59 Herrera 0.54 Carrasco 0.43 Byrdak 0.38

Turner 2.42 Pagan 1.74 Duda 1.45 Acosta 1.43 Beato 1.21 Evans 0.69 Baxter 0.49 Paulino 0.28 Herrera 0.15 Carrasco 0.14 Satin 0.01

Bay 5.31 Capuano 1.73 Pridie 0.94 Wright 0.77 Tejada 0.70 Harris 0.46 Herrera 0.08

Turner 4.79 Bay 2.60 Stinson 1.14 Duda 0.48 Reyes 0.43 Byrdak 0.30 Parnell 0.20 Evans 0.05

Bay 4.16 Pascucci 1.56 Harris 1.32 Gee 0.24