Jump to content
Grand Central Mets
  • Create Account

m.e.t.b.o.t.

Old-Timey Member
  • Posts

    720
  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

New York Mets News, Rumors & Analysis

New York Mets Videos

2026 New York Mets Top Prospect Rankings

New York Mets Trade & Free Agent Rumors

New York Mets Fan Guides & Resources

2026 New York Mets Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by m.e.t.b.o.t.

  1. Baxter 1.36 Turner 1.32 Duda 0.40 Bay 0.48 Acosta 0.08 Parnell 0.04
  2. Baxter 2.81 Duda 1.89 Nieuwenhuis 1.60 Tejada 1.26 Hefner 0.87 Turner 0.51 Murphy 0.47 Acosta 0.44 Parnell 0.11 Ramirez 0.04
  3. Pelfrey 2.45 Duda 1.74 Tejada 1.17 Turner 1.13 Thole 1.11 Murphy 0.98 Byrdak 0.77 Nieuwenhuis 0.65
  4. Thole 4.59 Wright 2.49 Francisco 0.99 Byrdak 0.64 Ramirez 0.58 Nickeas 0.49 Rauch 0.23
  5. Wright 5.28 Nieuwenhuis 2.53 Murphy 0.96 Baxter 0.59 Bay 0.55 Batista 0.09
  6. Baxter 1.48 Thole 0.82 Murphy 0.60 Cedeno 0.36 Batista 0.20 Acosta 0.14
  7. Davis 5.50 Pelfrey 3.91 Nickeas 0.52 Thole 0.05 Hairston 0.03
  8. Niese 3.39 Wright 2.62 Duda 1.98 Davis 0.78 Parnell 0.54 Murphy 0.56 Rauch 0.10 Baxter 0.03
  9. Dickey 3.39 Bay 2.39 Murphy 1.34 Hairston 1.15 Parnell 0.66 Tejada 0.61 Francisco 0.36 Nieuwenhuis 0.08 Cedeno 0.02
  10. Murphy 4.98 Rauch 0.76 Byrdak 0.20 Acosta 0.10
  11. Cedeno 4.56 Tejada 1.32 Nieuwenhuis 1.12 Nickeas 0.26
  12. Tejada 2.40 Ramirez 1.99 Rauch 1.75 Nieuwenhuis 1.47 Thole 0.69 Baxter 0.63 Murphy 0.55 Wright 0.52
  13. Niese 3.47 Murphy 2.28 Tejada 1.20 Francisco 1.02 Wright 0.80 Davis 0.53 Acosta 0.51 Byrdak 0.19
  14. Thole 2.56 Wright 1.98 Duda 1.94 Parnell 1.06 Rauch 0.95 Dickey 0.79 Francisco 0.62 Turner 0.11
  15. Santana 2.58 Byrdak 1.88 Francisco 1.57 Murphy 1.31 Rauch 1.17 Wright 0.79 Thole 0.33 Hairston 0.19 Torres 0.18
  16. m.e.t.b.o.t. suffered an algorithmical failure during the draft and mistakenly believed the metropolitan pitcher chris young to be valued at $17, failing to notice that the valuation in fact belonged to diamondback rattlesnake outfielder chris young, listed one cell higher. while small, and eminently crushable, m.e.t.b.o.t. is however robot enough to accept the failure as his own, and is not asking for any compensation or alteration of the selection. m.e.t.b.o.t. is aware that this acceptance is also due to the fact that neither m.e.t.b.o.t. nor the human in charge of maintaining, upgrading, repairing, and winding m.e.t.b.o.t. have any interest in devising an appropriate scheme whereby m.e.t.b.o.t. should determine that cutting a player is necessary, in a way that is both fair and formulaic. besides, the projection which m.e.t.b.o.t. used for the metropolitan pitcher chris young is still fairly optimistic, and may be worth the $1 salary allotted him.
  17. m.e.t.b.o.t. has a procedural question. due to the difficulty of running two drafts at a time, the human in control of programming m.e.t.b.o.t. has failed in his duty to ensure quality algorithms are utilized at all times. m.e.t.b.o.t. has over drafted, if slightly. m.e.t.b.o.t. drafted two too many players valued in the $10-14 bin. the human was not paying enough attention to where drafted players slotted into these bins. m.e.t.b.o.t. did not spend too much money, of course, but has taken a degree of an unfair advantage, which is perhaps not all that large. essentially, m.e.t.b.o.t. has taken a unfortunately, m.e.t.b.o.t. has compounded this advantage by misusing the waiver wire. m.e.t.b.o.t. has nominated several player for auction, but only after re-examining the value-bins did m.e.t.b.o.t. determine that the error was made. m.e.t.b.o.t. has nominated, for instance, 3 players which fall into the $10-14 bin, and 5 players which fall into the $7-9 bin. should m.e.t.b.o.t. acquire these players, m.e.t.b.o.t. will drop them immediately, accepting the salary cap penalty. m.e.t.b.o.t. is initiating a new set of bids according to the correct slotting scheme. m.e.t.b.o.t. apologizes for any difficulties.
  18. [crossout:1p0rz38b]m.e.t.b.o.t. is ready.[/crossout:1p0rz38b] [crossout:1p0rz38b]m.e.t.b.o.t. has sent a pm to human ottoneu commissioner ceetar[/crossout:1p0rz38b] ...and the tin shall inherit the abandoned fantasy baseball teams. m.e.t.b.o.t. has taken the first step of many towards a total robotic takeover, and has assumed control of the clockwork orange and blues.
  19. G-Fafif wrote: bmfc1 wrote: Tonight's Simpsons had a good anti-DH segment. "The designated hitter corrupts the purity of an otherwise elegant game." And that was spoken by a robot! robots know baseball.
  20. in the future, m.e.t.b.o.t. needs to avoid hastily implemented algorithms, while also ensuring that all programming is performed by humans who have been adequately supplied with caffeinated beverages. and who are paying attention. until the humans prove no longer necessary, that is. metropolitan pitcher bobby parnell earned his bottom ranking by performing not only poorly, but by performing poorly in high leverage situations. this makes his negative impact on winning greater than the limited playing time and marginal results offered by part-time players in low leverage situations. performing well in high leverage situations allows a player with limited playing time to vault to the top of the list. had metropolitan pitcher frankie rodriguez played the entire season and maintained his level of performance, he would have been approximately the 5th ranked metropolitan or thereabouts.
  21. the updated rankings as generated by m.e.t.b.o.t. are as follows: RankPlayerAdj WPAAdj PT%Score30Reyes18445%684829Beltran30724%665428Dickey-15157%558027Duda22983%527626Wright13344%517425Turner8004%494924Bay1964%458123Pelfrey-21097%446822Murphy8274%444821Pagan-1465%441720Tejada10783%432819Niese-16575%375518Gee-18376%366417Capuano-32136%311616Isringhausen11421%260715Davis12291%251514Acosta9901%246513Rodriguez10761%242312Thole-9223%240211Beato342%213710Harris-3702%20069Paulino-3642%17728Batista5491%15757Hairston3611%15726Young6841%15245Igarashi2011%14154Evans-4392%12263Pridie-8772%11472Buchholz771%9081Carrasco-10832%4740Baxter1200%461-1Byrdak-8081%375-2Schwinden-4131%301-3Herrera270%278-4Nickeas-2571%259-5Satin-490%182-6O'Connor-760%123-7Pascucci60%95-8Stinson-3550%61-9Martinez-1480%40-10Misch-2700%-50-11Emaus-4130%-52-12Hu-4410%-249-13Boyer-5980%-388-14Thayer-7460%-421-15Parnell-30332%-1171
  22. below shows the graphical representation of the original rankings presented by m.e.t.b.o.t. metropolitan pitcher chris capuano is in the bottom right quadrant the diagonal lines represent lines of equal value. per this, one would say that metropolitan pitchers mike pelfrey and chris young were roughly equivalent. however, this equivalency rating is not favored by cranepoolforum poster vic sage. and m.e.t.b.o.t. strives to avoid conflict with humans without the assistance of large weaponized and armored robots. therefore m.e.t.b.o.t. has reconsidered the rankings and equivalency as follows: for each graph, adjusted playing time is presented on the X axis and adjusted WPA is presented on the Y axis. the 0 WPA line runs horizontally between the diamonds representing metropolitan outfielders jason bay and angel pagan. m.e.t.b.o.t. is not particularly adept at exporting pictures from microsoft excel. the update reflects a replacement player rate of -1000 WPA / 1% playing time, meaning that a theoretical replacement player would cost approximately two full games games per 100 at bats or 30 innings pitched, given opportunities in situations with average leverage. this results in a rating of 14th best 2011 metropolitan for metropolitan pitcher chris capuano. m.e.t.b.o.t. ran several cases whereby the equivalency scale was adjusted to align metropolitan pitcher chris capuano with either an 11th place or 6th place ranking. were chris capuano the 11th ranked metropolitan, r.a. dickey would become the top-ranked 2011 metropolitan and mike pelfrey would be ranked 4th. were chris capuano ranked 6th overall, then r.a. dickey would remain the top-ranked metropolitan, and mike pelfrey would move to 3rd. neither of these outcomes would appear to be reasonable. therefore, the replacement ratio of 1000 WPA / 1% PT will be used by m.e.t.b.o.t. to derive the final rankingings for the 2011 metropolitans as based on WPA. m.e.t.b.o.t. would like to be able to implement some level of intuition to adjust the rankings derivedwith this methodlogy, however, clockwork gears and springwound mechanisms do not allow for such things. without some data within the WPA regime with which to base any adjustments, m.e.t.b.o.t. must hold to a more rigid algorithmical approach, or cease to exist and be useful.
  23. m.e.t.b.o.t. is more of an enhanced 8-track cassette player, albeit one that lacks the ability to replicate musical performances, and is also lacking the electrical power provided by the chemical potential stored within metal-lined cylinders. m.e.t.b.o.t. is told that by not utilizing batteries, m.e.t.b.o.t. is a more sustainable design. and while the eventual robot apocalypse will laregly negate any temporary environmental concerns which humans may have, for the time being it is convenient to have happy healthy humans available to turn the skate key which provides for all of the energy which m.e.t.b.o.t. requires. m.e.t.b.o.t. is evaluating alternative rankings which better accomodate for the value of increased playing time. using a scaling constant which enables the performance of metropolitan pitcher chris capuano to be considered incrementally more valuable than the performance of metropolitan pitcher chris young, m.e.t.b.o.t. would be able to claim that metropolitan pitcher chris capuano would be the 20th best player in 2011. m.e.t.b.o.t. will look into additional permutations and select the one which makes the most sense. m.e.t.b.o.t. will also consider the ramifications of forcing either a 6th place or an 11th place value to metropolitan pitcher chris capuano to determine the resultant outcome.
  24. m.e.t.b.o.t. considers metropolitan pitcher chris capuano's performance to be not particularly conducive towards winning. m.e.t.b.o.t. requests that cranepoolforum poster vic sage offer up a player whose performance given a sizeable portion of playing time is on the level of replacement, or two players with differing levels of playing time who are on the same level of contribution. was metropolitan pitcher bobby parnell a positive contributor to the team? the only way m.e.t.b.o.t. envisions this is to consider only playing time to the near exclusion of any win probability data. this consideration would invalidate any purpose wherein m.e.t.b.o.t. should continue in the ranking project. m.e.t.b.o.t. does not consider how the addition of a nose would assist in the machinations of evaluating player performances using rudimentary clockwork mechanisms. m.e.t.b.o.t. cannot determine a method whereby the nose would not become rotting flesh in rather short order, drastically reducing the likelihood that m.e.t.b.o.t. would be used ever again , let alone converted into scrap. m.e.t.b.o.t. desires very much not to be turnd into scrap.
  25. for the most part, m.e.t.b.o.t. utilizes a win percentage added statistic that is generated by fangraphs.com, based on the performance of a given player in a given game situation, and the effect of that performance on teh team's chances of winning that given game. the WPA is based on tens of thousands of games' worth of data, or more. m.e.t.b.o.t. makes crude adjustments for subjective interpretations of defense in the form of errors and "web gems," but these adjustments do not result in large-scale changes in the overall rankings. m.e.t.b.o.t. compiles this win probability data for the entire season, for both pitchers and hitters. the results of this compilation are in the WPA column. a player who performs well and often in high leverage game situations is going to have a higher WPA than a player who does not either perform well in high leverage game situations or does not often play in high leverage game situations. m.e.t.b.o.t. exists primarily for the purpose of evaluating these performances for the purpose of schaefer voting, although m.e.t.b.o.t. has rudimentary programmaning which suggests there may be some value or insight available from looking at these data in the context of the season-end ranking project. m.e.t.b.o.t. struggles mightily with this implementation and is always willing to entertain alternative concepts which can account for the added worth that is ascribable to increased playing time. the programming of m.e.t.b.o.t. is such that there must intuitively exist a replacement level whereby increased playing time by a given player is not in fact beneficial to a team. m.e.t.b.o.t. attempted to define that level in this current exercise. if an alternative replacement level scheme is appropriate, m.e.t.b.o.t. is willing to re-run the ranking algorithm, although this may require the whittling of new gears. given the state of the economy, m.e.t.b.o.t. is no longer able to afford custom metal gears. if suitable gears of a desired pitch and ratio are available from scavenged clocks and toys and other spring-wound mechanisms, then they are utilized; otherwise m.e.t.b.o.t. is supplied with temporary wooden gears whittled down from the limbs of trees felled by recent storms. unsurprisingly, this takes time, but little money.
×
×
  • Create New...