in evaluating HOF credentials, Bill James' the HOF Monitor and HOF Standards formulas are useful tools. The Monitor attempts to measure the likelihood of induction based on a wide range of accomplishments. The Standards test tries to measure the actual value of his accomplishments. You can look at these numbers for each player, and measure them against the average HOFer, rather than using the lowest ranked HOFer as a threshhold, which only serves to bring the level ever downwards. avg HOF standards = 50 / avg HOF Monitor = 100 (130 = a lock) [u:afee405e84]2008:[/u:afee405e84] * Blyleven, Bert - 50 / 120.5 (at least avg in both stats = yes) - Rice, Jim - 43 / 146 {Black Ink test=33 (above 27 avg), borderline-yes) - McGwire, Mark - 42 / 169 [bI =36] (never tested positive, borderline-yes) - Smith, Lee - 13 /135 {borderline- stats don't work well for RPs) - Mattingly, Don - 34.1 / 133 (borderline) - Parker, Dave - 41 / 129 (borderline - no) - Morris, Jack - 39 / 122 (borderline - no) - Dawson, Andre - 43 / 118 (borderline - no) - Trammell, Alan - 36 / 118 (borderline - no) - Murphy, Dale - 34 / 115 {(BI = 31) borderline - no} - John, Tommy - 44 / 111 (borderline - no) x- Concepcion, Dave - 25.9 / 106 (no) x- Tim Raines - 46 / 90 (no) x- Baines, Harold - 42 / 66.5 (no) [u:afee405e84]2009: [/u:afee405e84] * Rickey Henderson - 52 / 186 (BI = 50! - 1st ballot) [u:afee405e84]2010: [/u:afee405e84] * Roberto Alomar - 55 / 193 (yes) * Edgar Martinez - 50 / 131 (yes) - Barry Larkin - 42 / 118 (borderline) - Fred McGriff - 47 / 100 (borderline - no) [u:afee405e84]2011: [/u:afee405e84] * Jeff Bagwell - 59 / 149 (yes) * Larry Walker - 57 / 147 (yes) - Juan Gonzalez - 39 / 120 (borderline - no) x- Rafael Palmeiro - 57 / 178 (yes, but tested positive, so no) [u:afee405e84]2012: [/u:afee405e84] * Craig Biggio - 55 / 172 (yes) As for the Smith / Vizquel discussion, they have similar below-average HOF Standard rankings (smith = 30.9, Vizquel = 33.9), but the Wizard had a Monitor ranking of 142, to Vizquel's 119, so one can understand Ozzie's inclusion and Omar's exclusion, despite being similar players.