batmagadanleadoff wrote: That bit about the "third or fourth time" is really superfluous, isn't it? I don't think so. You mentioned multiple times that only reason you were even interested in draft position for the coming year was the supposed make-up of this particular draft, a claim which made me curious as to the source of your information. Anyways, here ya go: Digging around a bit last night, that Jim Callis piece that your linked Harper piece cites was the one example I came up with also where deep draft and 2018 were mentioned. But Harper seems to be interpretting Callis is a way to fit a predetermined conclusion. Saying there are (right now anyway) a top two isn't the same as saying there's a huge fall-off after them. Hell, every list has a top two and the one thing we can probably count on is that they'll change over the next eight months. And by citing 2011 as a comparable draft he cites a year where there decidedly were not a couple outstanding and obvious picks followed by a marked fall-off, and one where the order was not all that predictive of who the future franchise-type players were going to be. Not that I wouldn't want Gerritt Cole, Trevor Bauer, or Dylan Bundy (picks 1, 3 & 4), but the picks from second five -- Anthony Rendon, Francisco Lindor, Javier Baez (#s 6, 8 , 9) -- currently look better than the first five. And not mentioned by Harper (or Callis for that matter) is that the #2 & 5 picks from that year have yet to see a day in the majors and one of them (#2) almost certainly never will.