Edgy MD wrote: I'm not of the mind that you never know with prospects. It's an over-simplistic philosophy. I mean, OF COURSE you never know. But you never know with veterans either. Nothing is a lock. Their future performances all exist in terms of varying degrees of likelihoods. Canó, Kellenic, Alonso, me, you, and Ariana Grande. How often does a veteran's productivity nosedive as soon as he is the centerpiece of a big trade? Often enough, I'd say. Actually, I take that back. The president's future performance is something close to a lock. You know what's a lock? Edwin Diaz (or any other closer) will never put up a WAR between 7 and 10. Kelenic has a chance to do that someday. To a lesser extent, Dunn could too. And you know what? If you gave me Kelenic and Dunn, I bet I could have traded them for a guy with a WAR of 4 or over.