smg58
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Everything posted by smg58
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I see no point in making a big commitment to guy who might not be better than what we've already got. Maine, Pelfrey, and Ollie all have one nice year on their resume too, and an average year from any of them isn't much different than an average year from Piniero. (And they're all younger than Piniero too.) A few games of Sheets/Wang/Bedard would be a bigger upgrade than a whole season of Piniero.
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If you want love, you'll need a glove. (Defense 2010)
smg58 replied to a topic in New York Mets Talk
Outfield defense is a BIG worry. Beltran is out at least a month and may be compromised when he gets back. With Bay, you hope he hits well enough so that people don't notice his fielding. Francoeur's arm may cancel out his below-average range, or it may not. Pagan will be average in center, which may or may not be good enough to make up for the corners. I think Citi will be a much bigger issue for outfield defense than for hitting home runs. The infield depends a lot on Reyes. Cora and Castillo aren't the plus defenders they used to be, and Wright is up and down. Murphy is better than his rep, assuming he starts at first. I think we'll be average at least in the infield if Jose stays healthy, but I wouldn't get excited about it. So yeah, I'm worried, especially with Beltran out. -
There really isn't anything wrong with what they have. Like I've said before, if the Mets were to sign Ryan Garko I'd give him a shot in ST to show what he can do behind the plate, knowing that the worst-case scenario is that he's still a more-than-adequate platoon at first base. Otherwise, I think the money would be better spent elsewhere.
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The price is about what I figured, but he wouldn't have gotten this much on the open market.
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Hairston is a Padre, for $2.125M.
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I think Omar took it for granted that Beltran would get official approval before going ahead, and Beltran took it for granted that nobody would object to him going ahead with the surgery since there was, well, no good reason whatsoever to do so. But somebody did object, and then decided the best way to handle this was to bring in the commissioner and the media. And again, who benefits, besides the reporters who get another free opportunity to slam the Mets?
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Edgy DC wrote: Yeah, seriously, It's not like they didn't need Misch and Nieve and Figgy and Stokes and then some last year. Considering that the staff was devastated by injuries last year, they did pretty well, and deserve some credit. I'm not arguing, for one. It obviates the need to spend several million on guys like Tim Redding and Livan Hernandez.
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Hairston's worth looking at if he comes fairly cheap. We're already committed to Cora in the infield, though, so I wouldn't pay extra for his defensive flexibility if I think there are better outfielders out there for the same money or less.
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I'd be worried if Livingston started for us, but he could make the pen out of ST.
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Don't panic. The Mets have somebody on the team who posted an .837 OPS last year while providing average centerfield defense, neither of which was done by Jacoby Ellsbury last year. The worst thing we could do is badly overpay for somebody who may be a lot less of an upgrade over what we currently have than he looks at face value. There are bargains to be had. A Russ Branyan/Ryan Garko platoon at first would really fill the power void, and would probably cost us $5M total or less. Randy Winn, if he's over whatever impeded his ability to swing righthanded last year, could be quality outfield depth at a dirt cheap price. Maybe a pitching upgrade would come more cheaply than an established centerfielder. There are means of improving the team out there that would neither break the bank nor cost us players we'd miss.
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The good news is that players like Branyan and Delgado will have to ask for less than that. Wow, I bet LaRoche is sorry he turned the Giants offer down. And I bet his agent is fired the minute the ink dries.
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Randy Winn looks like a good buy-low candidate, assuming he's healthy (which of course, is always the issue no matter who the Mets get). I do think it looks as though Beltran doesn't trust the Mets' doctors. I guess it remains to be seen if that's good or bad.
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Let's not forget Russ Branyan (31 HR's last year in hitter-unfriendly Safeco) is still waiting for an offer.
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I do think they need a supplemental righthanded bat regardless of who gets most of the starts at first, but otherwise I'm flexible. I'd consider Delgado if he'd agree to an incentive-laden deal, but I wouldn't lose sleep if we got outbid.
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I would agree that the public perception of Thole's value has benefited perhaps excessively from his first impression, while the perception of Martinez has suffered for the same reason. I didn't notice anything overly negative about Thole's defense, but I'll admit I wasn't paying that close attention. I'm curious about Thole's CERA, though, which was quite a bit lower than that of any of the other Mets catchers. The sample size is short, and he may have just caught Misch and Figueroa on exactly the right day. On the other hand he never caught Johan, or even Fernando Nieve. If he gives me a reason to believe that's not a fluke, I could live with any defensive shortcomings he might have.
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Is now a good time to mention that Tim Raines had a higher career OPS than Dawson?
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G-Fafif wrote: Who knew so many voters watched the 2002 and 2003 Mets so closely? That's exactly what I was thinking. Either that or they're friends of the ump he spat on. Still, if he retired after 2001 would there even be debate? Fortunately, Blyleven's showing suggests that he's going to get in on one of his last two tries. He should have been in years ago, and I can't believe it's taking this long and we still have to debate this, but I do think he'll ultimately get where he belongs.
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Another thing on Wang -- this would only be his fifth full season, so he'd be under the team's control next year. That's not an insignificant factor if he performs well.
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It's tough to isolate one or two things with Omar, because the big deals he's generally handled/avoided properly. Does anybody wish, at this point, that the Mets had outbid the Cubs for Soriano or the Giants for Zito, or that we had landed Manny last year? He's been brutal filling out the back of the roster, though, and at times he's badly overpaid to hold on to replaceable parts. 1. 3 years and $36M for Ollie Perez. 2. 4 years and $25M for Luis Castillo. I could take any of the 06-07 offseason moves that ultimately derailed two playoff drives. Heath Bell proved to be the biggest backfire, but for facepalm-inducing moments I'm going for this one: 3. Allowing Darren Oliver to make less money from the Angels over the past three seasons (in two separate contracts) than Scott Schoeneweis, who was vastly inferior at the time and did nothing to elevate his status.
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Depends on price. Carlos Zambrano is the most likely to produce a significant upgrade over a full season, but he also appears to be the most expensive (in fact, it doesn't look close) unless the Cubs would take Ollie in addition to Castillo and thereby cancel out the salary difference (not likely, but I'd ask). Sheets has the most upside, but could I get Wang for substantially less? The Mets have no business including prospects in any deal for a player not worth his contract, so any team who insists on that would not get a return call from me. Like I've mentioned before, I'd roll the dice on upside before I made a multiyear commitment to a pitcher who might not be much of an upgrade. Based on your hypothetical asking prices, I'd say Wang is the best value, but I'm not sure that any of those pitchers will get anywhere near those amounts.
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I still think Holliday's the better player, but for THAT much more than Bay? We'll see if anybody acknowledges that Minaya comes out of this looking good.
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In other news, Adrian Beltre is likely to sign with Boston, who are close to dealing Casey Kotchman to Seattle. Randy Johnson is expected to announce his retirement. Troy Glaus is officially a Brave for $1.75M plus incentives, and Juan Uribe is officially a Giant for $3.25M. The Mets, meanwhile, have signed utilitymen Russ Adams, Andy Green, and Mike Cervenak to minor-league deals, along with AAA mainstay Jesus Feliciano.
