Frayed Knot wrote: Even though I'm not the uber-nerdy prospect-head with nine fantasy teams going at once that tend to make up the majority of participants at John Sickels' 'Minor League Ball' site (arguments about who should be the 14th best prospect in each system are beyond both my knowledge and my interest) one of the things I like about that site is that Sickels makes it a regular point to go back and examine past evaluations (both his and others) in an effort to see where they were right, where they were wrong, and/or what's changed in the interim. Yesterday's topic involved one Juan Lagares (and, no, auto-correct Nazi, I don't mean Juan Laggers) and seeing how, going back to 2012, reports initially viewed him as a bat-first left-fielder or future utility man. It's not really clear exactly what changed or why his defensive skills were missed by early observers, but clearly things did as both the naked eye and all defensive metrics put him at the top of his position from almost the minute he reached the majors. Sometimes, as John himself says at the bottom of the comments section, "It is a good example of how we basically don�t know shit. We know more about baseball than we used to. We are learning more every day. We can make better predictions. But they are still just predictions, and Weird Shit will still happen sometimes." Apparently the one defensive stat they all missed (but I didn't when I adopted him) was all those outfield assists. You don't get mid-teen assists with an average arm. You DO get them with a poor arm, because other teams run on you. But none of the scouts said his arm was poor. I had confidence Juan was the real deal. Later