I would have updated this earlier, but it's been a busy day. Although, I suppose if the update were a happier one I would have found the time. Yesterday was the second bad day in a row. (It's still too early to worry, I say worriedly.) The Nationals won and the Mets lost. The division lead drops to 7.5 games. The magic number remains at 10. And the NHOP rises above the .300 mark, from .286 to .303. Remember how happy we were when the lead got to 7 games after the Mets finished up in Washington? We figured the division was all but clinched. Well, right now the lead is a half game larger than it was then, the magic number has dropped by 7, and the NHOP has declined .063 points. So, despite the anguish of the last two days, The Mets are still in better shape now than they were then. The next few days have the potential to be bumpy. The Mets play a three-game series against the Yankees in Queens while the Nationals host the Marlins for four games. I'm going to set a rather pessimistic "goal": If the Mets have a 6-game lead on Monday morning after all this is done, the magic number will be 8, with each team having 13 games remaining. (The NHOP would be .308, slightly higher than it is now.) But the Mets schedule would be rather easy for the next ten games, and over that period they should be able to get the magic number down to zero. If the Mets have a lead of more than 6 games on Monday morning, all the better. If the Mets, for example, take two of three from the Yankees and the Nationals split with the Marlins, the lead will be 8 games, and the magic number will be a mere 6. Let's see what happens! DateMets RecordNationals RecordMets LeadMagic NumberGames RemainingNHOPAugust 356-5054-501571140.500August 457-5055-501561120.500August 558-5055-512541100.491August 658-5056-511.5541090.495August 759-5056-522.5521070.486August 859-5157-521.5521050.495August 959-5257-531.5511030.495August 1060-5258-531.5501010.495August 1161-5258-542.548990.485August 1262-5258-553.546970.474August 1363-5258-564.544950.463August 1463-5358-574.543930.462August 1563-5458-584.542910.462August 1663-5558-594.541890.461August 1763-5558-594.541890.461August 1864-5559-594.540870.460August 1964-5660-593.540850.471August 2064-5660-60439840.464August 2165-5660-61537820.451August 2266-5661-61536800.450August 2367-5662-61535780.449August 2468-5662-615.534770.442August 2569-5663-615.533750.440August 2670-5663-626.531730.425August 2771-5664-626.530710.423August 2871-5764-636.529690.420August 2971-5865-635.529670.433August 3072-5866-635.528650.431August 3173-5866-646.526630.413September 173-5966-656.525610.410September 274-5967-656.524590.407September 374-5968-65624580.414September 474-6069-65524560.429September 575-6070-65523540.426September 675-6171-65423520.442September 776-6171-66521500.420September 877-6171-67619480.396September 978-6171-68717460.370September 1079-6171-687.516450.356September 1180-6171-698.514430.326September 1281-6171-709.512410.293September 1382-6172-709.511390.282September 1483-6173-709.510370.270September 1583-6274-708.510350.286September 1683-6375-707.510330.303 Upcoming schedule for Mets and Nationals: MetsNationalsSeptember 17MiamiSeptember 18New York (AL)MiamiSeptember 19New York (AL)MiamiSeptember 20New York (AL)MiamiSeptember 21AtlantaBaltimoreSeptember 22AtlantaBaltimoreSeptember 23AtlantaBaltimoreSeptember 24At CincinnatiSeptember 25At CincinnatiPhiladelphiaSeptember 26At CincinnatiPhiladelphiaSeptember 27At CincinnatiPhiladelphiaSeptember 28CincinnatiSeptember 29At PhiladelphiaAt AtlantaSeptember 30At PhiladelphiaAt AtlantaOctober 1At PhiladelphiaAt AtlantaOctober 2WashingtonAt MetsOctober 3WashingtonAt MetsOctober 4WashingtonAt Mets