Vic Sage wrote: good for the Phillies. That's a serious overpay, and it'll bite them. Arrieta is in decline; i'd take Lynn at 1/2 that price for 1 year. Yeah, I was just about to post that how you feel about that deal depends on how much you think his trends are likely to continue. H/9: 5.9, 6.3, 8.0 [2015-2017] HR/9: 0.4, 0.7, 1.2 ERA: 1.77, 3.10, 3.53 K/BB: 4.92, 2.50, 2.96 IP: 229, 197, 168 ... and then there are the reports of reduced velocity, etc. That he only turned 32 earlier this week means that it's not out of the question that he turns things around, but the 2014-2016 portion of his career [9th, 1st, and 9th in CY voting] seems more like the outlier when compared to the 2010-2013 and then 2017 seasons.