Frayed Knot

It's been so long since we won a game following an IGT that I started (I'm think maybe 2015 but there may be one or two more recent ones that I'm failing to recall) that I almost forgot it was my job to do so for Game 2 tonight. Good to see that the Mad Max franchise is now branching out to include sports contests (because there's already too much originality coming out of Hollywood) Max Fried [10-3; 2.58 ERA, 1.073 WHIP; 122 K; 21 starts] vs Max Scherzer [7-2; 2.13 ERA; 0.925 WHIP; 109 K; 14 starts] 7:10 PM EDT, or whenever they can herd all the first game peeps out of there (including the ones hiding under seats trying to invent their own 2-fer-1 deal) and get the new crew in.

Now that our #6 starter out-dueled their trade deadline pickup, we are now down to three final outcomes for this series with four possible combinations of events to take us there. 1) Mets with both, finish at 4-1 - 25% odds of happening 2) Mets win tonight, lose on Sunday, finish 3-2 3) Mets lose tonight, win on Sunday, also finish 3-2. 25% chance of each so 50% odds at winning the series 3-2 4) Braves win both, Mets finish 2-3, 25% chance So right now the odds are 3-to-1 in our favor of winning the series; more specifically -- A 1-in-4 of gaining three games when it's all over. Or, as GWreck put it "Sigh contentedly. Prepare to deliver knockout punch during 4 game series in Atlanta later this month" -- a 50/50 shot at winning the series 3-2. "Recognize that while Mets are still better, Braves need to be taken seriously. Sigh anxiously." -- and a 1-in-4 of losing 1 game in the standings. "Remind self that despite 5 game series, Braves could only make up 1 game. Nervously pace while contemplating facing San Diego's new look lineup in October." Already eliminated from competition are: -- Win 1: "Reread Tim Britton article in The Athletic about Mets not sufficiently “going for it” in their best start to a season since 1988. Grumble under breath that Eppler the former GM was willing to make a stupid trade of a great prospect in 2021 when Mets didn't have a great chance, but now was gunshy about doing so." and -- Win 0: "Panic."

Oh Yuan, you disappoint me.

Bad break on the ball off the ump play. McNeil grabs that easily. But I suppose there's only so many times you can will the ball to get by (C. B.) Bucknor in one franchise's history.

They've finally reached the 8th a mere 3:15 into the game. Those night ticket holders are going to start knocking on the doors pretty soon.

=seawolf17 post_id=102657 time=1659816704 user_id=91] Holy shit McCann got a big hit!

Canha gets hit by more pitches than anyone I've ever seen who doesn't seem to do anything special to make himself get hit. He just seems to be a magnet through little or not fault of his own.

Lugo got jobbed on a strike call to Acuna, but then just got it back on strike 3 to Swanson.

Lookie here fans, I'm telling you now They call me Bryce Elder You likely don't know all my life Cuz I'm the Twenty-Seventh Man

Not a HR, but a Yuge hit anyway!! All from two outs and an 0-2 count on Nimmo

2 hours, not yet 5 innings in the books

Middle of the order up in bottom 5 Let's see if we can put the Odor in Odorizzi.

Acuna might have been out but not flipping the call was the right call IMO

41 pitches thru 3 for Peterson (though he does himself no favor by walking the leadoff man in the 4th.) But Odorizzi is up over 70 for the same span.

They're underway in the day portion of a split DH Peterson faces Jake Odorizzi in his first start for Atlanta

Damn! I was so looking forward to writing up the summary showing some Real Good Odds following a win last night. Instead, this series has now turned into just a regular two-of-three with eight possible combinations remaining. Six of those eight will result in a 3-2 series win for one side or the other although there remains a one-in-four chance that someone sweeps the weekend and wins the series four games to one. I like to think that the combo of deGrom plus Scherzer in two of the remaining three games tilts the odds towards our side a bit more than theirs but I don't want to change standards in the middle of the game here so we're sticking with treating each game as a 50/50 deal. Mets go 4-1 (3-0 from here) = 12.5% Mets go 3-2 (2-1) = 37.5% Mets go 2-3 (1-2) = 37.5% Mets go 1-4 (0-3) = 12.5%

I'm beginning to think that this comeback isn't going to happen.

The Braves now have a ridiculous 25 HRs from their catchers. Td'A = 11, Contreras = 14 Not even sure the Yanx have that many. We have, what, two? oe: Yanx catchers = 16. 10 for Trevino, 6 for Higoshioka

Frayed Knot wrote: So, if nothing else we'll force them to use both Iglesies and Jansen in advance of tomorrow's DP. They're going to turn a DP tomorrow? Which inning? I'm keeping that a secret for the time being. Now, imagine if we force them to use both Iglesies and Jansen AND we get to one or both.

So, if nothing else we'll force them to use both Iglesies and Jansen in advance of tomorrow's DP.

Mychel not Given me a lot of reason for optimism.

More LOBsters, but, oddly, still a lot of time left. And the Braves haven't scored since the 2nd.

OK with me, Colin McQ, if you want to bring the tying run to the plate.

I think I remember Edgardo from that game saying (later) that he supported the opposition party but appeared with Chavez out of Venezuelan solidarity.

Got a good inning out of Joely. Would be a crime to waste that!