Frayed Knot

Light schedule tonight, but the Braves will host the ALC-leading though water-treading Twins for a series. And a matchup of two of 2023's biggest surprises in MLB as the Reds head to Baltimore In series starting tomorrow the Phils head to Wrigley and the Marlins to Fenway Yanx go to Oakland after the Rangers showed this past weekend that even when they're good they can't beat NYY (Yanx took 2-of-3]. F. F. Freeman notched his 2,000th hit on Sunday and boldly says he wants to get to 3K He's averaged 186/per over his last four full seasons including two league-leading years [2018 & 2022] Turns 34 in September. Can he do 160-ish a season for his age 34 - 39 seasons? I wouldn't bet against him.

Well the upshot is that you can be both sucky and unlucky at the same time. Mags' point is that a team playing three-plus weeks of baseball who get out-scored in the aggregate by essentially an 11-to-10 ratio is unlikely to lose 72% of those games. Change the distribution and timing of some of those runs and it's still not going to be a good month but play those same games out a bunch of times and it should trend towards something more like 9-12 or thereabouts. On the flip side they shirley have been playing like shite and what they've mainly been doing is getting kil't in the late innings while doing almost Zero scoring of their own. * they were tied or within one in the first two Jays games and tied in the 7th of the third: lost 'em all * were ahead in all three Braves games then got out-scored a combined 15-1 from the 6th inning on: 0-3 * in the StL series they score 3 on the day they give up 5 then score 7 on the day they give up 8 Then the same thing happens vs Houston [2 / 4 then 8 / 10] right after winning a double-digit game * they were leading or tied or within one run in the 8th or 9th inning ten times during this stretch and won once!!! All that would be tough to pull off if you were trying to do so and almost impossible if you're not. And yet they did.

Y'know what's Not merely unlucky? Since June 1st of 2022 (approx 190 games played) the Mets are 25.5 games worse than Atlanta.

Mets are currently a lovely 6-15 in the month of June as they prepare to close out the month with a four game series with a team that blew them out of their building during a series in April But what's worse is that this record comes with just a -10 run differential (99 RS/109 RA) meaning that, much more often than not, they've been playing just bad enough to lose ... but of course you've been watching so you already know that. More specifically they've lost by 1 run five times, 2 runs six times, 3 runs twice, plus one 4 run loss and one 7 run loss (14-7 v Pirates) So in the one run losses they've obviously had the tying and/or go-ahead/winning runs at bat or on base but failed to score each time. In the two run losses (6) the margin was twice due to late inning tie-breaking 2R HRs and have had tying/winning runners on in several others. And one of the 3-run losses was a 10th inning 3R HR after sending it to extras by allowing two runs in the 8th and one more in the 9th iow, there have been multiple late inning losses but only a single late inning win: the 10th inning walk-off vs the Yanx Quickie summary here: 6/2: Jays 3 - Mets 0 T9: 2R HR off Brigham w/1 out 6/3: Jays 2 - Mets 1 T9 Tied entering 9th, 2 out RBI 2B off Robertson B9: Tying run at 1st, winning at plate with 1 out: FO, K 6/4: Jays 6 - Mets 4 Tied entering 7th: 2R HR off Leone B9: 1-2-3 6/6: Mets 4 - Braves 6 Up 4-1 until 4-run 6th T9: 1-2-3 6/7: Mets 5 - Braves 7 Tied entering B8: 2 out/2R HR off Ottavino T9: 1-2-3 6/8: Mets 10 - Braves 13 (10) Up 10 - 7 after 7th: gave up 2 in 8th, 1 in 9th, 3 in 10th T9: bases loaded/1-out: K, K T10: ghost runner on 2nd no outs: LO, K, K 6/9: Mets 7 - Pirates 14 blowout loss, nothing to see here 6/10: Mets 5 - Pirates 1 6/11: Mets 1 - Pirates 2 T8: Mets had a runner on 1st with one out (GO, PO) T9: a runner on 2nd w/one out (FO, FO) 6/13: Yanx 7 - Mets 6 B8: 1st & 2nd w/0 outs, then bases loaded w/1 out (K, K) B9: 1-2-3 6/14: Yanx 3 - Mets 4 walk off win in the 10th 6/16: Cards 1 - Mets 6 (Wow! Two wins in a row!!!) 6/17 Cards 5 - Mets 3 Top 9: Cards get insurance run Bottom 9: Leadoff batter on (HBP) so three ABs w/tying run at plate (K, K, K) 6/18: Cards 8 - Mets 7 Tied after 8, Ottavino gives up 1-out solo HR in top 9 Bottom 9: FO, 1B, GiDP 6/19: Mets 11 - Astros 1 6/20: Mets 2 - Astros 4 Mets get tying run to bat w/2 outs (K) 6/21: Mets 8 - Astros 10 Top 9: 1-2-3 6/23: Mets 1 - Phils 5 6/24: Mets 4 - Phils 2 6/25: Mets 6 - Phils 7 Bottom 8: the walk/error/HBP debacle Top 9: leadoff batter on so 3 ABs w/tying run on, go-ahead run at bat (K, K, FO)

I'd call this the worst loss of the season but, thinking about how this year has gone, I'm not sure it cracks the top ten.

A quickie autopsy on the Angels 25-1 beat down of the Rox (in Coors of course). From the bottom of the 4th on it was a 2-1 game. Unfortunately for the Rox it was 23-0 by top 4 Anaheim scored 13 in the 3rd inning alone Leadoff hitter Taylor Ward and #2 slot Shohei each came to bat five times by the 4th inning Could have been worse if Ohtani hit, he had merely a single in 7 trips

Frayed Knot wrote: I have absolutely no data to back this up, but our percentage of hitting into GIDPs when faced with a potential GIDP situation seems extraordinarily high. And sometimes that propensity is reciprocal. Nice win. I had much nervous all through the latter innings.

I have absolutely no data to back this up, but our percentage of hitting into GIDPs when faced with a potential GIDP situation seems extraordinarily high.

=duan post_id=129715 time=1687638580 user_id=99] Anyone else stuck with the Phillies feed despite selecting WPIX11

So here's to you Mr. Robertson! now ya gotta go out and do it next inning too

Yeah, good guy but no longer had much of a role here. - he's the backup for Lindor & Squirrel who who don't want or take days off - he doesn't hit enough to be the RH DH ahead of Canha or Pham, or even from the left side ahead of Vogelbach - and his main position is one where the team is trying to break in one, two, or maybe three rookies

Braves hit three 8th inning HRs in a four batter span and it's now 11-10 Reds bottom 8

Those runs were all earned ... but they kind of weren't.

Not sure that his subsequent attempted steal of home during a pitcher's throw to 1st was his best idea (out by a lot), but a nice game anyway. 11 - 7 Reds, start of 7th

Saying the Elly de la Cruz is a mere triple away from the cycle may not be the frivolous statement that it usually is ... AND AS I TYPE THAT HE TRIPLES!!!!

Edgy MD wrote: Votto's comeback may be for real. Especially after the 3R HR he just tacked on to his first one. 9-7 Reds with the home team coming to bat in the 6th Can't claim to have seen this coming after that top of the 1st

Bottom 4 and the Reds have tied up the Braves. HRs from Frahley (2R), de la Cruz (2), and Votto (solo)

=Fman99 post_id=129596 time=1687564451 user_id=86]Are we in sell mode?

Well that drama was short-lived as the Braves bat around in the top of the 1st (cuz, y'know, it's a day ending in a Y) and the Reds go out 1-2-3 on 10 pitches to a ATL rookie . 5-0 (4 after 2 were out) heading to the 2nd So perhaps we can shift our gaze to Pittsburgh where the Marlins try to hand the Bucs their 11th straight loss. PS: I can only imagine how fast Elly de la Cruz would be if he chose to play with fewer than 17 chains around his neck

The Braves take their eight game winning streak into Cincinnati for the weekend where the Reds are looking to lengthen their Eleven game streak. Not even the Big Red Machine ever reeled off that many consecutive 'W's

Radio game for me.

France HR'd in his 2nd AB which I think means he gets awarded both Alsace and Lorraine. 8 to Zip M's in the 3rd

Yanquis pitcher Domingo German just drilled Mariners OF Ty France square in the back with his first pitch ... and I don't think I have to remind you folks that there's a long and bloody history involving those two.

Braves put up a 5-spot in the 10th, #s 2 and 3 when Kyle Schwarber dropped what would have been the 3rd out, then #s 4 and 5 on the subsequent 2R HR Phils got one in the bottom half so 8 straight wins now for ATL And it turns out they're NOT playing DH today. Guess they opted to make up last night's rainout later in the season.

Braves & Phils taking a scoreless tie into the 9th (just 3 hits each) They got rained out Wed night so today's guy dame morphs into a 1:00/7:00 split DH, something which might help us a shade as we'll be the next visitors to Philly.