Padres hung on to win, so the DBacks find themselves the third team in a WC chase for the second year in a row. They're two games behind both the Mets & Reds but lose a tie-breaker to Cincy and so are a non-factor now. So it's Mets & Reds and the odds are with the Reds. Mets have to go 2-0 while the Reds lose at least once: odds = 0.1875 OR Mets go 1-1 while the Reds lose both: odds = 0.125 0.1875 + 0.125 = 31.3%. Or a shade less than one chance in three. So, as Harry Callahan might have said, you've got to ask yourself one question as we go into the weekend games, "Do you feel lucky?" Personally, despite all their other problems which are both real and numerous, this is about the UN-luckiest team I've ever seen. So that's a 'No' from me.