Swan Swan H wrote: Since 2007 the Phillies have won 102, 97, 93, 92 and 89 games. To get to 89 wins, which is probably what they need to get in, they would have to win 52 of 78, exactly .667, or a 108 win pace. That's not a hot streak, but half a season at the same pace as the 1986 Mets. They need to be better than they have been in the past five years - way better, with one exception - over three full months to reach the probable lowest number of wins to get into the playoffs. They're dead. The Phils went just 9-10 during the rest of July after this post. But then, despite trading away Victorino & Pence prior to the deadline, turned in a 24-14 mark since August 1st including a 7-2 September In all that's 33-24 meaning they'll need to close with a 19-2 record to reach Swan's 89 win threshold. However, they have climbed to within one game of .500 and currently sit just 5 games out of the 2nd WC slot - behind both the Dodgers (4 games) and Pirates (2.5) in line. It could be that it will take less than 89 wins to get in in the NL this year So while it'll still take a real hot streak and some help for them to pull it off ... they're not dead yet.