batmagadanleadoff

From The Athletic: Bowden: The biggest winners and losers of the MLB offseason so far Winners 5. Steve Cohen, owner, New York Mets Cohen is baseball's new George Steinbrenner, ready to outspend every MLB owner and he really doesn't care about it. If you can't beat them, just outspend them, and don't worry about what's going to be the biggest luxury tax bill in the history of the sport. The Mets' payroll is already in the $350 million range, which carries an expected tax of $75 million. The Mets' tax payments alone will be more than at least 10 teams are expected to spend on their entire rosters next year.....

Lugo also left the Mets because of Chris Young's vision. Lugo figures that eventually, Young's vision is sure to catch on with the Padres.

He said he left the Mets because of Chris Young's vision.

I woulda been traumatized by the 30 block walk to GCT. [FIMG=333]https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/52574029658_f50beae280_h.jpg[/FIMG] I've got matchbooks, ashtrays, plates, and (I think) even a menu from Rusty's.

The original was on the NE corner of 3rd and 73d on the UES, since occupied by EJ's Luncheonette, which is still there. https://ejsluncheonette.com/our-story/https://ejsluncheonette.com/our-story/

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This is so freaking boring already. I'm wishing it was already next year so that the Mets can get Ohtani. How much more do I have to wait for Ohtani because I can't wait anymore? Someone go tell deGrom that Cohen still doesn't wanna win. Chris Young has the vision.

Is Senga gonna wear a jersey without a front number? Or are all of the Mets now gonna go front numberless? Or just Senga? Can everybody get back to me on this?

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I had to climb the Alps and then burrow down to its core to extricate this hermetically sealed in a mayonnaise jar video from the inside of the Alps. And then run like the wind because Genghis Khan's guards chased me with machetes when they saw that I had this treasured video. Hope this helps. But why would only Alonso wear #44? [media=youtube]HVi0_ZlBjcY[/media] [FIMG=444]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E6JP2B6XIAAEzrp?format=jpg&name=small[/FIMG] [FIMG=444]https://masnstatic.dcafecms.com/images/easyblog_shared/NATIONALS/b2ap3_large_GettyImages-1328713995.jpg[/FIMG] [FIMG=444]https://www.japantimes.co.jp/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/np_file_98629.jpeg[/FIMG]

Edgy MD wrote: Baseball-reference refers to Kodai Senga as Koudai Senga. That needs to be sorted out and it may take a few more weeks. How horrendous! Please continue to monitor this national tragedy and get back to me immediately as soon as this is all rectified.

It's a little ironic that the end of the Wilpon Era coincided with the "Everyone makes the playoffs" era. The Wilpons would have been thrilled to pump out 86 win teams with the hope that they would sneak into the playoffs. That's pretty much what the Wilpons were doing even before playoffs expanded to the point that almost half the teams qualify.

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No. It'd be like leaving the gun but taking the cannolis. He'll keep the statue and the original apple and whatever other cherished knickknacks the crass and philistine Wilpons didnt sell off.

It's a nice start. I'd bet anything that what Cohen would really like is to blow up the whole fucking clown show of a stadium and start from scratch.

I'm all choked up. And I love Steve Cohen. Also, superagent Scott Boras just dubbed Cohen as Steve "Kong".

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Edgy MD wrote: But the relative value of a run does. And the relative value of an out. Break-even rates are averages. Of course, a player should always consider the context when attempting a steal. And the catcher. Mike Piazza wasn't a bad defensive catcher but he couldn't throw his mother out on a stolen base attempt. And a base-runner twice as fast as Terrance Long should attempt a steal every single time he's on first base and second base is unoccupied. Also, any runner on first base should always attempt a steal of second base if the pitcher has a heart attack on the field and drops to the ground in cardiac arrest, so long as time-out isn't called. But none of this should impact the break-even rate. A runner caught stealing hurts his team just the same whether the pitcher on the mound had a heart attack or not. As mentioned, there are separate break-even rates for when a team needs only one run to win a tie game. And it's understood that break-even should drop in the later innings of close games. Stolen bases are more valuable the closer the game is. That's because failed attempts tend to wreck a team's chances of having a big inning and very often, the winning team will score more runs in one inning than the losing team will score in nine innings. But you can say this for every stat. A player doesn't get an extra boost to his BA or SLG or OPS or OBP just because his HR was a decisive come from behind walk-off HR. In the stats, that HR registers the same as a HR hit at the tail end of a blow-out win. Break-even rates are based on run expectancy tables. And that, to some degree, is a limit. But no stat is perfect. A stat only measures what it measures A player's HR totals don't reflect how many doubles he hit.

Edgy MD wrote: But it's different in stealing. Virtually nobody would steal up 10 in the eighth. But if you're the winning run trying to get into scoring position in the ninth — the very difference maker — the temptation to run is higher. There's a wicked closer on the mound who your matter has virtually no chance of squaring up for extra bases, but maybe they can squeak one through the infield and you can score from second. These are the factors that more typically occur around stealing. Steals and steal attempts are not randomly distributed across all game situations. The break even rate for base stealing is a direct function of run expectancy. And run expectancy has nothing to do with whether a team is up by a dozen runs or down by one.

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when you put it in the game situation, you're still ascribing it to "worth X runs which equals Y wins", just with a more narrow focus. Yeah. I didnt get that either. Runs scored and wins correlate positively and very powerfully. The circumstances in which runs are scored are irrelevant to this.

Maybe we are talking about different things here? When I say "success rate" i mean the percentage of stolen base attempts that are successful. So if a player attempt 5 steals, steals 4 bases, and is aught once, his success rate is 80%. I agree that this number should go up under the new rules. When I say "break even rate" I mean the rate at which a player must be successful for his stolen base attempts to be a net positive impact rather than a net negative impact on his team';s run scoring probability. Why would this change in the rules change that number? We're talking about the exact same things. Break-even changes every year, albeit very slightly usually. Otherwise, by your logic, break-even would be a constant, a fixed number. Generally, break-even rises when run scoring is more plentiful. The easier it is to score runs, the more costly a failed stolen base attempt is. BTW there are different break even rates for stolen bases in the same season. So for example, in the bottom of the ninth inning in a tied game, when the home team needs to score just one run to seal a victory, the break-even rate is lower. Under other circumstances, the break even rate would be higher because a failed stolen base attempt could potentially cost that team more than one run. But in that ninth inning situation, those extra runs are moot.

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You have to factor in inflation, increasing revenue streams and the ever-increasing value of the franchises themselves when considering these long-term contracts for the best baseball players. These players will surely decline by the end of their contracts, but given the financial climate that would likely exist 13 years from now, their contracts would be - relatively -- much cheaper than they appear today. At this rate, 13 years from now, the top players will be making $80M a year or so. The AAV of Correa's new contract is about $26M. That would rank him at about the 25th or 26th highest paid baseball player for next season. He signed a 13 year contract. 13 years ago, in 2009, the 26th highest paid player, Albert Pujols, (StL) earned $14.4M. So salaries, at least for the very best players, have just about doubled over the last 13 years or so. The teams aren't stupid and they're surrounded by financial experts, the very best. They wouldn't be offering these contracts if they couldn't afford them. And if revenues continue to increase, the Union will insist on higher and higher salary caps. BTW, the highest paid player over the last 20 or so seasons, relative to what everybody else was making, I think, was A-Rod, when he signed with Texas and eventually had the Yankees pick up the remainder of that contract when he was traded. I think that the A-ROd contract was and remains the largest outlier of a contract over that span.