batmagadanleadoff

Benjamin Grimm wrote: Are the Diamondbacks the first team to miss the postseason because of a tiebreaker? Bobby Thomson's "The Giants win the pennant" HR to eliminate Brooklyn was in a tiebreaker. (The Shot Heard 'Round the World).

This is like Frazier v Ali. Who pitches the 9th for the Mets?

I've switched from "watching the game" to "checking in every few minutes." You can binge The Sopranos over on HBO. But that's almost over, too. Tony gets whacked in about half an hour.

Benjamin Grimm wrote: It really depends on how you define worst, by most losses or by lowest winning percentage? I think at best it's ambiguous. So a team that plays 300 games but loses 122 of them did worse than the '62 Mets?

Luis Arraez goes 1 for 3 to finish the season with a .314 batting average, good enough for his third straight batting title and in the process, denies Shohei Ohtani his bid for the NL triple crown. Ohtani ended this season with a .310 batting average.

“I never thought that this would be broken while I was still around,” said 86-year-old Craig Anderson, a member of those 1962 Mets. “For the Mets fans, it's off your shoulders. Now, we're not the worst in the world.” I dunno. Should the White Sox win their last two games, they'd finish with a better record than the '62 Mets. Which they did. 2024 White Sox 41-121 (.253) 1962 Mets 40-120 (.250) But now go try and tell baseball's mouth-breathers that the '62 Mets were better. "But the Sox lost 121 games. That's worse". But couldn't I, just the same, say that the Sox won 41 games and that 41 wins is better than 40 wins?" "But 121 losses is worse than 120 losses."

https://x.com/AnthonyDiComo/status/1840220383976243350 Yeah. The Mets still control their own destiny. If they win two of three, they're in. If the DBacks lose today, they only have to win one of three. And in a worst case scenario where the Mets lose today and the DBacks win, they could still get in by winning two games tomorrow.

I'd prefer to treat each game as a 50-50 coin flip. It's easier and not so far-fetched. Plus. I don't go for those junk-science narratives about some teams wanting it more than others or clutching up to meet the moment or teams having nothing left to play for -- that's all nonsense. Besides, ESPN odds and all the other odds are estimates, let's not forget. So let's treat them as ballpark figures instead of mathematical certainties. Perhaps very educated estimates, but still estimates. Which we all know anyways, but sometimes, tend to forget momentarily in the heat and emotion of the discussion.

Chad ochoseis wrote: The Braves miss the playoffs if: - they lose to the Royals, a playoff team, tomorrow and - the Diamondbacks, a slumping but good team, win tomorrow and - the Mets sweep them on Monday. It's not a likely scenario, but I'd bet on it if you gave me 1000-1 odds. Isn't it easier to just root for the DBacks to lose tomorrow? Then the Mets would have to win just once to clinch a spot. And they'd get three chances to win just that one game. Not that my rooting would have any effect on anything.

Try not to divine any deep and profound meaning from any of this. Three teams fighting for two spots with a day or two left in the season, separated by about a game in the standings and arbitrary derived tiebreakers after playing a combined almost 500 games. It's all a big nothing. The difference between these teams is nothing. Air. A stupid groundball that the batter regretted hitting the instant he made contact but that ended up in the outfield for a run scoring single. A lucky seeing-eye single that won a game. A warning track out that was blasted and crushed but didn't land 20 feet beyond the outfield wall like it should have because the wind was blowing in. Luck. Randomness. Nothing. The sixth and seventh best teams in the league battling for a playoff spot.

ESPN odds updated with one day left in the regular season: Braves >99.9% Mets 52.1% DBacks 47.9% That's odd. The DBacks odds went up by 10% with their loss tonight to the Padres. The tiebreaker favors the Mets -- but the DBacks play at home, for whatever that's worth.

Pods up 2-0 in 9th on a 2-run HR by Higashioka

=batmagadanleadoff post_id=172257 time=1727576654 user_id=68] Pods up 2-0 in 9th on a 2-run HR by Higashioka.

ESPN playoffs odds as of this precise moment, accounting for tonight's Braves win, Mets loss and DBacks tied in the 9th inning: Braves 90.8% Mets 71.4% DBacks 37.9%

Who knows. It's more of a toy, as far as I'm concerned. I assume everybody else thinks the same. ESPN's odds also has the Brewers as favorites to win tonight's (Saturday) game 57.5% to 42.5%. Also ESPN's opening betting money line has the Brewers at (-125) -- that is, if you're betting the Brewers, you must bet $125.00 to win $100.00.

Edgy MD wrote: Fangraphs has him ahead of Ohtani in fWAR, 7.4 to 7.0. Things change. It's gonna take a fucking miracle now for Lindor to take home this year's NL MVP award what with Ohtani's blazing and historical finish and Lindor's injury-related fade-out.

Braves 87-71 (--) (85.6%) Mets 87-71 (--) (57.3%) DBacks 88-72 (--) (57.1%) The Braves are heavy favorites to make the playoffs, among the three teams battling for the last two NL spots. Makes sense as they hold tiebreakers over both the Mets and the DBacks, and so, for all practical purposes, are a half a game ahead of both teams even though they are all tied in the standings. The Mets and DBacks are essentially even, odd-wise, to make the playoffs -- the Mets only slightly ahead of the DBAcks even though they hold the tiebreaker there. What I can't figure out at all, is how all three teams could be given a better than 50% of making the playoffs when this is now a game of musical chairs and when the music's over, one team is guaranteed to be left on the outside, looking in. OE-- I guess it's possible. Because two of the three teams will qualify, the combined odds for all three teams should add up to 200%. But it doesn't seem right at first blush, even though it is.

=rchurch314 post_id=171885 time=1727381195 user_id=195] =batmagadanleadoff post_id=171875 time=1727372707 user_id=68] ESPN odds now has the Braves as the odd team out. Their odds to make the playoffs dropped by about 10% even though both the Mets and Braves didn't play yesterday. The Mets odds stayed the same.

Plus, the Brewers had nothing to play for. So I have no idea how the hell they beat the Mets. I thought all their batters would've struck out on person so they could lose real fast and head on out to Carnevor for a steak before the joint closed.

=Craig Anderson post_id=172025 time=1727486246 user_id=55] “I never thought that this would be broken while I was still around,” said 86-year-old Craig Anderson, a member of those 1962 Mets. “For the Mets fans, it's off your shoulders. Now, we're not the worst in the world.”

=batmagadanleadoff post_id=171964 time=1727467266 user_id=68] I didn't know anything about the Trump watches until I checked this thread. His top end watches sell for $100K. Trump, September 10, 2024: “People can't go out and buy cereal or bacon or eggs or anything else. The people of our country are absolutely dying with what [biden and Harris have] done. They've destroyed the economy.” Trump September 26, 2024: “We're doing quite a number with watches!” Always the con artist.

I didn't know anything about the Trump watches until I checked this thread. His top end watches sell for $100K. Trump, September 10, 2024: “People can't go out and buy cereal or bacon or eggs or anything else. The people of our country are absolutely dying with what [biden and Harris have] done. They've destroyed the economy.” Trump September 26, 2024: “We're doing quite a number with watches!” Always the con artist.

Also, an interesting idea in the reader comments to that article: let the #1 seed choose their opponent: Mike N. It's ridiculous that the “reward” for being the 1 seed is having to face the winner of the two hottest teams, whereas the 2 seed gets either an awful division winner or the team with the worst record in the whole field. MLB needs to rethink their bracket or at least re-seed after the wild card round. Like @Mike N. Everything should be reseeded after the wild card round. Or, up the intrigue and let the #1 seed choose their opponent of the available teams.

You forgot to divide that by the square root of 1645.15 and subtract the number of rolls of paper towels in all the even numbered office areas Seriously guys relax and enjoy Amen! _______________________ The Athletic summarizes the over 1,000 NL possibilities over the last weekend (including the Dodgers and Padres) and the 64 possibilities for the three teams fighting for the last two NL playoff spots -- the Mets, Braves and DBacks. https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5796493/2024/09/26/national-league-wild-card-mlb-playoffs-possibilities/https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/5796493/2024/09/26/national-league-wild-card-mlb-playoffs-possibilities/ A few takeaways: The Mets cannot be eliminated before Monday's doubleheader; What would render Monday's doubleheader completely unnecessary? There are a couple scenarios in which the National League playoff field is set and seeded by Sunday night. This would require: • A Royals sweep of the Braves • The Padres to take two of three from the Diamondbacks • The Mets to win the series over the Brewers In these cases, the Padres would host the Mets and the Brewers would host the Diamondbacks. The Braves would be eliminated. The last time a rescheduled regular-season game after the end of the season determined playoff qualification was 1973, when the Mets won the first game of a doubleheader with the Cubs to clinch the NL East. (The second game was not played.) Is there a chance of a mutually beneficial split? [***] So, is there a chance the Mets and Braves work something out to ensure both teams advance? There are scenarios where that would be the case, if both teams enter Monday with one fewer win than Arizona. However, given the decades-long rivalry between the two franchises, as evidenced by their inability to work out a better contingency plan for these last two games, it's hard to imagine either side looking at such an arrangement as mutually beneficial. No mention of the DBacks recently losing two to the nothing-left-to-play-for Giants. (Deduct two points for critical analysis).

ESPN odds now has the Braves as the odd team out. Their odds to make the playoffs dropped by about 10% even though both the Mets and Braves didn't play yesterday. The Mets odds stayed the same.