Edgy MD wrote: I've got another magic number worth caring about — the one that gets the Mets three games ahead of the Braves before the head-to-head matchup in the next-to-last series. That Magic Number is the same 17, you're just hoping that the Mets get there six games before the end of the season. The Mets have ten games remaining before that series with the Braves, and the Braves have twelve. To reduce the Magic Number by 17 over 22 games, the NHOP would be .773; things would have to go our way more than three quarters of the time. For today's NHOP update, we had only two Happy Outcomes yesterday, and one of them was more Unhappy than Happy; the Phillies' loss to the Braves. Nevertheless... Happy Outcomes (2): Mets win, Phillies lose. Unhappy Outcomes (5): Dodgers, Braves, Cardinals, Padres, Brewers win. The Magic Number over the Brewers is down to 5. If the Mets were to lose all 16 of their remaining games, the Brewers would have to go 14-4 to keep the Mets out of the postseason. So the Mets will clinch a playoff berth within a few days, most likely, and at that point the division title will still be very much in doubt. Do teams break out the champagne when a Wild Card is clinched even though the division title is still in play? I would think not, but I don't know what the precedent is. The Mets have won the Wild Card three times (1999, 2000, 2016) and as far as I can recall, each time by the point when they had clinched the Wild Card, they had either been eliminated from winning the division or it was unrealistic. [TABLE] [TR][TH]Team[/th][TH]Goal[/th][TH]Remaining Games[/th][TH]Remaining Games vs Mets[/th][TH]Mets Magic Number[/th][TH]NHOP[/th]