2014 IPP: Noah Syndergaard

[Benjamin Grimm]

It was moderately popular last year, so we'll try it again this year. IPP stands for Individual Player Predictions. These will be threads where we share our expectations of how a player will perform in the current year. Feel free to make your predictions as specific or as vague as you like. (You can find a listing of the 2013 IPPs here.)

The plan for Noah Syndergaard isn't hard to guess; he'll follow the precedent set by Matt Harvey in 2012 and Zach Wheeler in 2013. Start the season in AAA, come up after the "Super Two" deadline in late June or early July, and then pitch until he runs out of innings. I think he'll have 80 innings with the Mets, and a nice 3.20 ERA. I also suspect that the Mets will try to find a creative way to extend Noah as deep into the season as possible before he gets shut down, something they really didn't do with Harvey or Wheeler. Whether it's more days between starts, early removals from starts, stints in the bullpen, or a combination of all three options remains to be seen.

[Vic Sage]

somewhere between Harvey and Wheeler's rookie years.

5-5 / 3.10 ERA / 80 IP / 14 GS

[Guest John Cougar Lunchbucket]

Debuts on the road ( June 17 vs. Cardinals) and is very sexy and good with the occasional rookie mistake outing.

7-6, 3.63 in 149.2 IP, 140/40 K/BB

[MFS62]

14 starts, 6-5, 3.84 ERA, 100 IP at most. He'll be on a pitch count limit, so I don't know how many IP he will have in the minors.

Later

[Ceetar]

he'll get promoted this year and throw some pitches. many of them will be good pitches.

[smg58]

Comes up in August after Colon gets traded, does decently. 3.50 ERA over 75 IP.

[Guest LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr]

Pretty decent in Vegas, then a lot more than decent later.

15 starts, 95 IP, 5-4 record, 3.62 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 9.4 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, and, like, 247 medium-strange hyperbolic comparisons in various online media

[Guest d'Kong76]

Unexpectedly pitches more than some expect, works that
into 9 wins somehow.

[Benjamin Grimm]

Adam Rubin wrote: PHILADELPHIA -- There's a decent chance Noah Syndergaard's major league debut may wait until 2015, although it apparently has not yet been formally determined, a team insider told ESPNNewYork.com. The reasoning: Triple-A Las Vegas is going to be playoff-bound for the second straight year. And Syndergaard may not have innings left after that postseason experience. Even with missing time for shoulder and elbow injuries, Syndergaard enters Tuesday's Pacific Coast League start at 108 innings this season, including one inning in the Futures Game. He totaled 118 2/3 innings with his Futures Game work in 2013. So he probably has about 40 innings remaining this season. Uninterrupted, Syndergaard would have four regular-season starts remaining for Vegas, plus at least one playoff start. Would the Mets call up Syndergaard in mid-September for one appearance -- if that -- before shutting him down? Or is it more sensible just to wait until next year given the exhausted innings? Syndergaard does need to be added to the 40-man roster this offseason to shield him from the Rule 5 draft. So tying up a 40-man roster spot is not an impediment to a September call-up, since he needs to be added soon thereafter anyway.

[ashie62]

Replaces DeGrom?