The Run Differential Standings - 2019

[Frayed Knot]

I have no real point with this, I just stumbled across them while looking up something else and wanted to see how the standing would look if done this way.





NL

DODGERS +273

NATIONALS +149

BRAVES +112

CARDINALS +102

CUBS +97

DIAMONDBACKS +70

METS +54

BREWERS +3

REDS -10

PHILLIES -20

GIANTS -95

PADRES -107

ROCKIES -123

PIRATES -153

MARLINS -193







AL

HOUSTON +280

YANKEES +204

TWINS +185

ATHLETICS +165

RAYS +113

INDIANS +112

RED SOX +73

RANGERS -68

ANGELS -99

BLUE JAYS -102

WHITE SOX -124

MARINERS -135

ROYALS -178

ORIOLES -252

TIGERS -333







So what stands out?

- that one team in each league are clear stand-outs

- that the Brewers were a should-have-been sub-.500 team when they went on a 21-7 finish (most of it without their best player)

- the lack of a middle class in the AL. 13 of the 15 teams were better than +100 or worse than -99. Only 7 of the 15 in the NL were outside those posts

- and then the bottom of the AL; two teams, nearly three, with a worse run-diff than the Marlins, and five of the bottom seven

Edited October 1, 2019 by Guest

[Centerfield]

My takeaway. The Mets are a considerable distance from the NL elite. They need to improve significantly this offseason.



Unfortunately there is a good chance they will start 2020 in the same place or slightly worse.

[Frayed Knot]

NYM = 7th best in NL in RS, 0.10 R/G better than league average

10th in NL in RA although, oddly, there they were also better than league average, by 0.16

[Ceetar]

Second half Mets:



8th.



4th in NL.

Dodgers 142

Nationals 131

Cardinals 105

Mets 84



Braves 65





Just runs allowed? Second in NL

Cards 298

Cleve 313

Houston 315

Oakland 317

Mets 320







Dodgers and Cardinals only won two more games, Nationals won three.

[batmagadanleadoff]

=Ceetar post_id=23508 time=1570025070 user_id=102]
Second half Mets:

[Centerfield]

It looks like he changed his signature. Wonder why.

[batmagadanleadoff]

=batmagadanleadoff post_id=23509 time=1570025990 user_id=68]
=Ceetar post_id=23508 time=1570025070 user_id=102]
Second half Mets:

[batmagadanleadoff]

=batmagadanleadoff post_id=23511 time=1570026287 user_id=68]
=batmagadanleadoff post_id=23509 time=1570025990 user_id=68]
=Ceetar post_id=23508 time=1570025070 user_id=102]
Second half Mets:

[Ceetar]

I just did last 81 games for my RS/RA breakdown.





But how much do I wanna discount the first half? I dunno. None? Some? The second half was closer to projections. Does that make it closer to true talent? There's some ball nonsense to account for too. deGrom had some struggles, but perhaps talent prevailed? Wheeler too, though that likely doesn't matter for 2020 projections.

[Frayed Knot]

This would apply to both halves, not just the second, but at a +54 for the season you can see what a huge chunk those 37 extra runs allowed just by Diaz & Familia* represent.

+54 suddenly becomes +91 and who knows how many more wins depending on which games those runs disappear from.









* over and above what was reasonable to expect from them as per the 'Back of the Pen' thread