Ceetar

I hope he does well..and gets traded for a stud SP.

John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote: Roadtesting Josh Lewin for the first time, although with Ed and not Howie. I recognize that voice. Mets on road I see. Torres vs. WANG Hope Dickey's performance is bigger than Wang today. Listening to the beginning too. like him so far, but I knew I would cause I read Faith and Fear.

I hope with Collin's emphasis on the pitchers getting the bunts down properly he focuses on other fundamentals. But it really makes you appreciate the true athletes on the mound. Like Santana.

This guy was signed at 15! and then didn't throw a professional pitch for 7 years. He was beyond terrific for the Giants. He only allowed 2 ER in 27 innings in exchange for a minor league reliever who still sucks. And then somehow was only used in 4 IP of garbage time (that's what it looks like anyway) in which he absolutely sucked. 6 ER in 3 appearances, one in each series, and the Giants won each game. How do you have a reliever be that dominant for you down the stretch to get you into the playoffs, and then not use him? You're right he had a bad half year in Fenway in 2010, but he as good there in 2009. Interestingly, when he started with the Rockies he had a high K rate, and continued that with the Royals where he started to keep the runs off the board. That second year where his ERA looks bad was mostly bad luck across a small 17 IP sample. (10.9 H/9 is way high) in 2009-2010 with Boston and the Giants he stopped striking guys out. His crazy run with the Giants he had a Pelfreyesque K rate. Then last year it jumped back up again. I think he'll have a really good year. He 'should' be the closer but at this moment he's probably 3rd or 4th on the depth chart there. I don't really have a good feel for how Collins likes to use the bullpen, it was bad for good portions of last year and most guys were pretty streaky and then there was the "no defined closer" period. So he did a lot of mixing it up. Will he allow RR to take someone else job, even if they're merely not as good? I suspect he'll get a lot of innings, because Collins will recognize that he's good, despite not wanting to supplant the other established guys. Hopefully those established guys don't need supplanting either. That'd lead to a pretty dominant bullpen. 74.1 IP, 2.44 ERA, 69 K, 27 BB, 1.185 WHIP.

Met Hunter wrote: If you live in the NY area, Lehigh Valley is alot closer than both of those places if you want to see the Bisons. but then you have to watch with Phillies fans and don't get wings or a trip to Niagara Falls.

Edgy DC wrote: Ladies and gentlemen, books. This one's probably self-published.

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr wrote: Again, though... for a guy who throws nothing but the two pitches he generally throws... even when he's "on," he's not all that worm-kill-y (compare to guys like Lowe and Webb during their peaks, e.g.). Well no, but I'm talking about him maybe pitching to a 4 ERA and keeping them in games. Not becoming Brandon Webb and dominating for a MVP. Get back to getting a few more ground balls, keep the ball in the park, and expecting the Mets to win more of your games than lose them doesn't seem farfetched. He was at career lows, so it should be doable. More GB means less FB means less HR which should hopefully lead to less runs (Unless the defense is just completely porous) He really did have a stretch for the first half of 2010 where he was having a nice run of it. It'd be a revelation at this point just to see a couple of starts in a row like that. Maybe Ricky Bones can help. he seems smart.

den Dekker broke it open with a triple, driving home Rottino and Valdespin I said this already. don't mind me..today is dragging.

Mets cough up the lead, but Valdespin-Rottino-den Dekker single, double, triple it back.

Also, what does it say about me that I sorta get how it could happen?

Elles Directed by Malgoska Szumowska, written by Tine Byrckel and Malgoska Szumowska (France, Poland, Germany) � U.S. Premiere, Narrative Juliette Binoche, exquisite and involved as always, stars in this sophisticated, sexually charged drama as Anne, a journalist getting in too deep with the research for her article on college students working as prostitutes. As the surprising stories of her two candid subjects stir up Anne�s image of femininity, she wonders if life with her workaholic husband and two spacey sons is all that different from her subjects� lives. A Kino Lorber release. Free Samples Directed by Jay Gammill, written by Jim Beggarly (USA) � World Premiere, Narrative Jillian is having a bad day. She�s got a raging hangover, she�s starting to think dropping out of Stanford Law to become an artist wasn�t the best career move, and things are weird with her faraway fianc�. Can spending the day parked in an ice cream truck doling out samples�and a good dose of sass�to oddball Angelenos shake her out of her quarter-life crisis? Jess Weixler, Jesse Eisenberg, and Jason Ritter star in this quirky comedy. The Giant Mechanical Man Directed and written by Lee Kirk (USA) � World Premiere, Narrative Thirtysomethings Janice (Jenna Fischer) and Tim (Chris Messina) haven�t quite learned how to navigate adulthood. Tim is a street performer whose unique talents as a �living statue� don�t exactly pay the bills. Janice is out of work and under pressure by her sister (Malin Akerman) to date an egotistical self-help guru (Topher Grace). In this charming comedic romance, these two strangers help each other to realize that it only takes one person to make you feel important. A Tribeca Film release. Headshot (Fon Tok Kuen Fah) Directed and written by Pen-ek Ratanaruang (Thailand, France) � U.S. Premiere, Narrative A return to the crime genre for celebrated Thai auteur Pen-ek Ratanaruang (6ixtynin9, Last Life in the Universe), Headshot is a noir-laced thriller centered on Tul, a hit man who is shot in the head and wakes up to find that he sees everything upside down. Working backwards (and often upside down) to tell a brooding and convoluted tale of underworld double dealings, this is an unexpected and artful take on the action thriller from a genre master. In Thai with subtitles. A Kino Lorber release. Knuckleball! Directed by Ricki Stern and Annie Sundberg, written by Christine Schomer, Ricki Stern and Annie Sundberg (USA) � World Premiere, Documentary This classic sports story recounts the trials and triumphs of two of the best known knuckleball pitchers currently playing in the MLB: Tim Wakefield, a Red Sox veteran struggling to clinch his 200th career win, and R.A. Dickey, an up-and-comer with the Mets looking to make a name for himself. This energetic documentary from the directors of Joan Rivers: A Piece of Work deconstructs the controversial and erratic knuckleball style. Struck By Lightning Directed by Brian Dannelly, written by Chris Colfer (USA) � World Premiere, Narrative Even being killed by a bolt of lightning won�t keep Carson Phillips quiet. A hyper-ambitious and outspoken high school senior in a small-minded town, Carson (Glee�s Chris Colfer) narrates his own funeral and the last few weeks of his life through a series of sarcastic flashbacks in this upbeat and energetic comedy from Saved! director Brian Dannelly. With Allison Janney, Dermot Mulroney, and Drive�s Christina Hendricks. Whole Lotta Sole Directed by Terry George, written by Terry George and Thomas Gallagher (UK) � World Premiere, Narrative In a rowdy little corner of Belfast, hapless young father Jimbo tries to protect his family from the gangster he�s in debt to by robbing the local fish market� which turns out to be a front for the same gangster! On the run, Jimbo holes up in a local antique shop run by a long-lost man from his past. A colorful cast of character actors and a strong turn from Brendan Fraser light up this madcap Irish crime comedy from Terry George (Hotel Rwanda). Jackpot (Arme Riddere) Directed by Magnus Martens, written by Jo Nesb� (Norway) � International Premiere, Narrative Terrified, bloodied, and gripping a shotgun, Oscar Svendsen wakes up in what used to be a respectable strip joint, surrounded by eight corpses and with a gun pointed at him by a detective with the National Criminal Investigation Service. Naturally, Oscar is taken into custody, and during his interrogation a bloody and darkly comic story of betrayal, murder, and lottery winnings emerges�but is this the whole story? In Norwegian with subtitles.

themetfairy wrote: David Price of the Rays injures himself toweling off between innings. This Yankees-Rays rivalry really heating up!

fine,d on't let anyone on base.

Mets � Willets Point wrote: We don't seem to have a AAA farm team thread for this season so I may as well start one. My main reason for posting is that the Bisons will be playing in a minor league double-header in Boston on August 18th. If you want to see the Bisons but find Buffalo is too far away or you want to go to Fenway Park when the Red Sox aren't there this is your opportunity. tempting. Also, Bisons hosting the All-Star Game this year, which I'm tempted by.

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr wrote: Ceetar wrote: One thing to note is that it's thought that HR rate isn't closely tied to a pitcher's skill. Pelfrey, being a guy that usually works down in the zone, has usually had better numbers than the league average FB/HR rate he had last year. He also posted his lowest ever GB% last year. He was probably barely above replacement level last year and imminently replaceable if you can find a replacement level guy (not always that easy) but if he can have a better handle on that sinker his ERA should also sink to more of a very serviceable innings eater keep them in the game type guy. HR rate is one of the few things that IS tied directly to a pitcher's skill-- the more hard-hit fly balls he tends to surrender, the more he lets up home runs. That Pelf, an ostensible "sinkerball" pitcher who works "down in the zone," generally achieves slightly-better-than-average GB rates while inducing far fewer-than-average swing-and-misses, and gives up an above-average FB rate in 2 of his 5 years as a starter and a league-average HR/FB rate... well, that's a pretty significant indictment of his skill level, isn't it? it's not. or at least, not closely correlated. This isn't something I'm making up, it's based on statistical analysis I've read, multiple places. You can look at many Hall of Fame pitchers and see big fluctuations. Halladay 11.3% in 2010. Oh, but that's CBP right? well, was only 5.1% last year. 6.5% in 2002 to 14.3 in 2003. Granted the data only goes back to 2002. Seaver gave up 15 HR in '68, 24 in '69. roughly the same IP and actually 22 less total hits. The biggest swing in Pelfrey's results are the Home Runs, and one of his worst rates was last year. Usually he's a tick or two better than league average with the FB/HR rate. I'm not saying this is just luck though, it's still in some way tied to his ability. Last year he had a lower GB%, which obviously was because of his own admittance on not having his Sinker. He's working on it, and he already claims he's having a better feel for it so far this spring. There's evidence that he can make this adjustment, and if he does the GB% rises and his HRs go down making his numbers somewhat better.

John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote: In addition to the certain lie that David (Fuck that Guy) Robertson hurt his foot in a fall "while moving boxes" word is that Nick Swisher is dealing with a hand cut "from a picture frame." In other bullshit MFY news, Raissman today relives some of the YES Network's greatest hits. picture frame? nice..

One thing to note is that it's thought that HR rate isn't closely tied to a pitcher's skill. Pelfrey, being a guy that usually works down in the zone, has usually had better numbers than the league average FB/HR rate he had last year. He also posted his lowest ever GB% last year. He was probably barely above replacement level last year and imminently replaceable if you can find a replacement level guy (not always that easy) but if he can have a better handle on that sinker his ERA should also sink to more of a very serviceable innings eater keep them in the game type guy. It's worth noting that they won only 11 of his starts last year. So while he's not going to suddenly become the ace he was drafted to be, he's also a spot to look for big team improvement with just slight improvement from him helping the team stay closer, and a better bullpen keeping it from getting away.

He had a pretty awful 2010 Spring Training as well, and then didn't really allow more than a run or two in April. Means nothing. anyway, I'm hopeful for better results from Pelf this year. I think he's working hard to have better command of his sinker, which will help, even if not much. His xFIP has barely changed year to year, so I'm not expecting any marked improvement from him, just some slight adjustments and better luck that lead to a better ERA. I'll guess close to his 162 game average over the last four years: 15-8, 4.4 ERA, 201 IP, 114 K and 69 BB.

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr wrote: And, man, it's sports. It's fun, and optional... but if you're rooting for a team, the loyalty's the THING, man. Also, I don't know if I mentioned this earlier, but I've decided to buy YoungerPooper some Jeter and Rivera jerseys, because, y'know, we're in the Bronx, and it's just easier. That's what I'd buy a pooper too.

jumping aboard a 'new' franchise makes sense, but it's harder to lose the old team these days. Even in DC, or Oklahoma, or (where did that Mets team move in that Citi commercial where they get their own seats) you can watch every game and follow the writers and papers and talk.

metirish wrote: Ceetar wrote: can we make the call on some other players now? Start a thread on the player. I would, but I wondering if we'd lose/forget players if more than one person starts making prediction threads.

can we make the call on some other players now?

Edgy DC wrote: Yeah, well, I'm writing that off as "no need to put the big guy on a bus to Disneyworld" move. I sense a super-overly cautiousness to the Mets right now, but still wish these random things would stop piling up.

btw, not to distract from the awful need for this thread, Lucas Duda has a stiff back and won't play today. Torres doens't appear to be back in the lineup either.

Edgy DC wrote: *What a vowel dump this guy is. Can we use an abbreviation? It takes so much concentration to type that name. could just go with Kirk. or Captain. Cap? N-House?