Standings, 2009

[TransMonk]

="Edgy DC":1wacunne] Net Met Post-Season Likelihood: 1.47032%[/quote:1wacunne] Met Post-Season Likelihood on Sept 12, 2007: 99.80% Stranger things have happened. Stranger and far more depressing.

Ashie62 Aug 04 2009 01:00 PM

="TransMonk":1oi9gbzs] ="Edgy DC":1oi9gbzs] Net Met Post-Season Likelihood: 1.47032%[/quote:1oi9gbzs] Met Post-Season Likelihood on Sept 12, 2007: 99.80% Stranger things have happened. Stranger and far more depressing.[/quote:1oi9gbzs] Wow** Strangely that just made my day. After all they are the Amazin Mets Edgy DC Aug 06 2009 08:06 AM Well, that lousy loss the night before last burns the Mets badly as their net post-season odds dip toward the 1% mark. Milwaukee moves up a bit, so the Mets have to eye Houston first, but you know, the Fish are slipping also. San Fran re-takes the top wildcard slot, but Baseball Prospectus still is totally not impressed. They love the Rocks. San Diego joins the Nats among teams not shouldered with the burden of a visible post-season possiblity. NL East Team W L % GB Net GB Elim. # BP % Champs Philadelphia 60 45 .571 --- --- --- 75.75257 Florida 55 52 .514 6.0 6.0 51 9.14475 Atlanta 55 53 .509 6.5 7.0 50 14.03328 New York 51 56 .477 10.0 17.5 47 1.06940 Washington 36 72 .333 25.5 79.5 31 0.00000 NL Wildcard Team W L % GB Net GB Elim. # BP % Champs San Francisco 60 48 .556 --- --- --- 22.82055 Colorado 59 48 .551 0.5 0.5 55 54.46296 St. Louis 59 51 .536 2.0 3.5 54 2.71764 Florida 55 52 .514 4.5 11.0 52 2.38452 Atlanta 55 53 .509 5.0 13.0 51 3.43947 Milwaukee 54 54 .500 6.0 18.0 50 0.41470 Houston 53 55 .491 7.0 24.0 48 0.11615 New York 51 56 .477 8.5 34.5 47 0.27858 Arizona 49 59 .454 11.0 54.5 44 0.11468 Cincinnati 46 61 .430 13.5 77.0 42 0.00048 Pttsburgh 45 62 .421 14.5 87.0 41 0.00063 San Diego 44 65 .404 16.5 109.0 38 0.00000 Washington 36 72 .333 24.0 199.0 31 0.00000 Edgy DC Aug 10 2009 07:57 PM The Mets are Santa Claus right now, giving hope to all the poor children, first Arizona, then San Diego, who actually has come back from having no chance of winning within five decimal places of a percentage point. Mercy. Not so resuscitated is Washington, who despite winning a fuky eight straight, still aren't showing any numbers but goose eggs, but they've closed their wild card gap from 199 net games to 173. Another seven months at this pace and who knows? Normally I'd cheer the Nats onward, reasoning that any success by a team behind the Mets in the standings helps the Mets pick off opponents, but this week stank so solidly that I view Washington's success as a threat by them to somehow catch the Mets in the standings. Show me something, SHaMs. NL East Team W L % GB Net GB Elim. # BP % Champs Philadelphia 61 48 .560 --- --- --- 58.10719 Florida 58 53 .523 4.0 4.0 49 15.91526 Atlanta 58 54 .518 4.5 5.0 48 25.56209 New York 52 59 .468 10.0 21.5 43 0.41546 Washington 40 72 .357 22.5 71.5 30 0.00000 NL Wildcard Team W L % GB Net GB Elim. # BP % Champs Colorado 61 50 .550 --- --- --- 51.36310 San Francisco 61 50 .550 --- --- --- 18.00222 Chicago 58 51 .532 2.0 4.0 51 4.56220 Florida 58 53 .523 3.0 7.0 49 3.87031 Atlanta 58 54 .518 3.5 9.0 48 4.75462 Houston 55 56 .495 6.0 21.5 46 0.16014 Milwaukee 55 56 .495 6.0 21.5 46 0.41311 New York 52 59 .468 9.0 42.5 43 0.08468 Arizona 50 62 .446 11.5 62.5 40 0.03717 Cincinnati 48 62 .436 12.5 71.5 40 0.00078 San Diego 47 66 .416 15.0 96.5 36 0.00003 Pttsburgh 45 66 .405 16.0 107.5 36 0.00000 Washington 40 72 .357 21.5 173.5 30 0.00000 Elster88 Aug 10 2009 08:55 PM ]I view Washington's success as a threat by them to somehow catch the Mets in the standings. That just depressed the hell out of me. duan Aug 11 2009 05:34 AM i don't know every time they look like they *just might* put something together that'd mean they'd claw their way TOWARDS being at least able to duke it out in September they lose two straight and fall back off. I'm still cool with saying if they go 13-6 or something in the remaining August games they'll be well in it, but there's only so many times they can fail to actually have one of those runs and still be able to put enough of them together. We've really missed a healthy John Maine. LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Aug 11 2009 12:06 PM Re: i don't know ="duan":exl5k9ys]We've really missed a healthy John Maine.[/quote:exl5k9ys] Since mid-2007. Edgy DC Aug 11 2009 12:53 PM We've missed three batsmen a bunch more though. duan Aug 11 2009 05:08 PM ="Edgy DC":20movskg]We've missed three batsmen a bunch more though.[/quote:20movskg] totally, it's just that Pelfrey & Hernandez seem to alternate good & bad outings and whoever's in the 4th & 5th slots is usually pretty junky so on the days where we don't score 7 runs we lose more then half the time. I sorta feel if we just had one more stable starter we'd be close to .500 now and if the batters came back could make a go of it.

[ashie62]

="TransMonk":1oi9gbzs] ="Edgy DC":1oi9gbzs] Net Met Post-Season Likelihood: 1.47032%[/quote:1oi9gbzs] Met Post-Season Likelihood on Sept 12, 2007: 99.80% Stranger things have happened. Stranger and far more depressing.[/quote:1oi9gbzs] Wow** Strangely that just made my day. After all they are the Amazin Mets Edgy DC Aug 06 2009 08:06 AM Well, that lousy loss the night before last burns the Mets badly as their net post-season odds dip toward the 1% mark. Milwaukee moves up a bit, so the Mets have to eye Houston first, but you know, the Fish are slipping also. San Fran re-takes the top wildcard slot, but Baseball Prospectus still is totally not impressed. They love the Rocks. San Diego joins the Nats among teams not shouldered with the burden of a visible post-season possiblity. NL East Team W L % GB Net GB Elim. # BP % Champs Philadelphia 60 45 .571 --- --- --- 75.75257 Florida 55 52 .514 6.0 6.0 51 9.14475 Atlanta 55 53 .509 6.5 7.0 50 14.03328 New York 51 56 .477 10.0 17.5 47 1.06940 Washington 36 72 .333 25.5 79.5 31 0.00000 NL Wildcard Team W L % GB Net GB Elim. # BP % Champs San Francisco 60 48 .556 --- --- --- 22.82055 Colorado 59 48 .551 0.5 0.5 55 54.46296 St. Louis 59 51 .536 2.0 3.5 54 2.71764 Florida 55 52 .514 4.5 11.0 52 2.38452 Atlanta 55 53 .509 5.0 13.0 51 3.43947 Milwaukee 54 54 .500 6.0 18.0 50 0.41470 Houston 53 55 .491 7.0 24.0 48 0.11615 New York 51 56 .477 8.5 34.5 47 0.27858 Arizona 49 59 .454 11.0 54.5 44 0.11468 Cincinnati 46 61 .430 13.5 77.0 42 0.00048 Pttsburgh 45 62 .421 14.5 87.0 41 0.00063 San Diego 44 65 .404 16.5 109.0 38 0.00000 Washington 36 72 .333 24.0 199.0 31 0.00000 Edgy DC Aug 10 2009 07:57 PM The Mets are Santa Claus right now, giving hope to all the poor children, first Arizona, then San Diego, who actually has come back from having no chance of winning within five decimal places of a percentage point. Mercy. Not so resuscitated is Washington, who despite winning a fuky eight straight, still aren't showing any numbers but goose eggs, but they've closed their wild card gap from 199 net games to 173. Another seven months at this pace and who knows? Normally I'd cheer the Nats onward, reasoning that any success by a team behind the Mets in the standings helps the Mets pick off opponents, but this week stank so solidly that I view Washington's success as a threat by them to somehow catch the Mets in the standings. Show me something, SHaMs. NL East Team W L % GB Net GB Elim. # BP % Champs Philadelphia 61 48 .560 --- --- --- 58.10719 Florida 58 53 .523 4.0 4.0 49 15.91526 Atlanta 58 54 .518 4.5 5.0 48 25.56209 New York 52 59 .468 10.0 21.5 43 0.41546 Washington 40 72 .357 22.5 71.5 30 0.00000 NL Wildcard Team W L % GB Net GB Elim. # BP % Champs Colorado 61 50 .550 --- --- --- 51.36310 San Francisco 61 50 .550 --- --- --- 18.00222 Chicago 58 51 .532 2.0 4.0 51 4.56220 Florida 58 53 .523 3.0 7.0 49 3.87031 Atlanta 58 54 .518 3.5 9.0 48 4.75462 Houston 55 56 .495 6.0 21.5 46 0.16014 Milwaukee 55 56 .495 6.0 21.5 46 0.41311 New York 52 59 .468 9.0 42.5 43 0.08468 Arizona 50 62 .446 11.5 62.5 40 0.03717 Cincinnati 48 62 .436 12.5 71.5 40 0.00078 San Diego 47 66 .416 15.0 96.5 36 0.00003 Pttsburgh 45 66 .405 16.0 107.5 36 0.00000 Washington 40 72 .357 21.5 173.5 30 0.00000 Elster88 Aug 10 2009 08:55 PM ]I view Washington's success as a threat by them to somehow catch the Mets in the standings. That just depressed the hell out of me. duan Aug 11 2009 05:34 AM i don't know every time they look like they *just might* put something together that'd mean they'd claw their way TOWARDS being at least able to duke it out in September they lose two straight and fall back off. I'm still cool with saying if they go 13-6 or something in the remaining August games they'll be well in it, but there's only so many times they can fail to actually have one of those runs and still be able to put enough of them together. We've really missed a healthy John Maine. LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Aug 11 2009 12:06 PM Re: i don't know ="duan":exl5k9ys]We've really missed a healthy John Maine.[/quote:exl5k9ys] Since mid-2007. Edgy DC Aug 11 2009 12:53 PM We've missed three batsmen a bunch more though. duan Aug 11 2009 05:08 PM ="Edgy DC":20movskg]We've missed three batsmen a bunch more though.[/quote:20movskg] totally, it's just that Pelfrey & Hernandez seem to alternate good & bad outings and whoever's in the 4th & 5th slots is usually pretty junky so on the days where we don't score 7 runs we lose more then half the time. I sorta feel if we just had one more stable starter we'd be close to .500 now and if the batters came back could make a go of it.

[Guest Edgy DC]

Well, that lousy loss the night before last burns the Mets badly as their net post-season odds dip toward the 1% mark. Milwaukee moves up a bit, so the Mets have to eye Houston first, but you know, the Fish are slipping also.

San Fran re-takes the top wildcard slot, but Baseball Prospectus still is totally not impressed. They love the Rocks.

San Diego joins the Nats among teams not shouldered with the burden of a visible post-season possiblity.

NL East
Team	W	L	%	GB	Net GB	Elim. #	BP % Champs
Philadelphia	60	45	.571	---	---	---	75.75257
Florida	55	52	.514	6.0	6.0	51	9.14475
Atlanta	55	53	.509	6.5	7.0	50	14.03328
New York	51	56	.477	10.0	17.5	47	1.06940
Washington	36	72	.333	25.5	79.5	31	0.00000

NL Wildcard
Team	W	L	%	GB	Net GB	Elim. #	BP % Champs
San Francisco	60	48	.556	---	---	---	22.82055
Colorado	59	48	.551	0.5	0.5	55	54.46296
St. Louis	59	51	.536	2.0	3.5	54	2.71764
Florida	55	52	.514	4.5	11.0	52	2.38452
Atlanta	55	53	.509	5.0	13.0	51	3.43947
Milwaukee	54	54	.500	6.0	18.0	50	0.41470
Houston	53	55	.491	7.0	24.0	48	0.11615
New York	51	56	.477	8.5	34.5	47	0.27858
Arizona	49	59	.454	11.0	54.5	44	0.11468
Cincinnati	46	61	.430	13.5	77.0	42	0.00048
Pttsburgh	45	62	.421	14.5	87.0	41	0.00063
San Diego	44	65	.404	16.5	109.0	38	0.00000
Washington	36	72	.333	24.0	199.0	31	0.00000

[Guest Edgy DC]

The Mets are Santa Claus right now, giving hope to all the poor children, first Arizona, then San Diego, who actually has come back from having no chance of winning within five decimal places of a percentage point. Mercy.

Not so resuscitated is Washington, who despite winning a fuky eight straight, still aren't showing any numbers but goose eggs, but they've closed their wild card gap from 199 net games to 173. Another seven months at this pace and who knows?

Normally I'd cheer the Nats onward, reasoning that any success by a team behind the Mets in the standings helps the Mets pick off opponents, but this week stank so solidly that I view Washington's success as a threat by them to somehow catch the Mets in the standings.

Show me something, SHaMs.

NL East
Team	W	L	%	GB	Net GB	Elim. #	BP % Champs
Philadelphia	61	48	.560	---	---	---	58.10719
Florida	58	53	.523	4.0	4.0	49	15.91526
Atlanta	58	54	.518	4.5	5.0	48	25.56209
New York	52	59	.468	10.0	21.5	43	0.41546
Washington	40	72	.357	22.5	71.5	30	0.00000

NL Wildcard
Team	W	L	%	GB	Net GB	Elim. #	BP % Champs
Colorado	61	50	.550	---	---	---	51.36310
San Francisco	61	50	.550	---	---	---	18.00222
Chicago	58	51	.532	2.0	4.0	51	4.56220
Florida	58	53	.523	3.0	7.0	49	3.87031
Atlanta	58	54	.518	3.5	9.0	48	4.75462
Houston	55	56	.495	6.0	21.5	46	0.16014
Milwaukee	55	56	.495	6.0	21.5	46	0.41311
New York	52	59	.468	9.0	42.5	43	0.08468
Arizona	50	62	.446	11.5	62.5	40	0.03717
Cincinnati	48	62	.436	12.5	71.5	40	0.00078
San Diego	47	66	.416	15.0	96.5	36	0.00003
Pttsburgh	45	66	.405	16.0	107.5	36	0.00000
Washington	40	72	.357	21.5	173.5	30	0.00000

[Elster88]

]I view Washington's success as a threat by them to somehow catch the Mets in the standings.

That just depressed the hell out of me.

[duan]

every time they look like they *just might* put something together that'd mean they'd claw their way TOWARDS being at least able to duke it out in September they lose two straight and fall back off. I'm still cool with saying if they go 13-6 or something in the remaining August games they'll be well in it, but there's only so many times they can fail to actually have one of those runs and still be able to put enough of them together.
We've really missed a healthy John Maine.

[Guest LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr]

="duan":exl5k9ys]We've really missed a healthy John Maine.[/quote:exl5k9ys] Since mid-2007.

Edgy DC Aug 11 2009 12:53 PM

We've missed three batsmen a bunch more though.

duan Aug 11 2009 05:08 PM

="Edgy DC":20movskg]We've missed three batsmen a bunch more though.[/quote:20movskg] totally, it's just that Pelfrey & Hernandez seem to alternate good & bad outings and whoever's in the 4th & 5th slots is usually pretty junky so on the days where we don't score 7 runs we lose more then half the time. I sorta feel if we just had one more stable starter we'd be close to .500 now and if the batters came back could make a go of it.

[Guest Edgy DC]

We've missed three batsmen a bunch more though.

[duan]

="Edgy DC":20movskg]We've missed three batsmen a bunch more though.[/quote:20movskg] totally, it's just that Pelfrey & Hernandez seem to alternate good & bad outings and whoever's in the 4th & 5th slots is usually pretty junky so on the days where we don't score 7 runs we lose more then half the time. I sorta feel if we just had one more stable starter we'd be close to .500 now and if the batters came back could make a go of it.