Projectiles

[Guest Edgy DC]

Different Formulae projecting Daniel Murphy, a 2009 key Met_TM

System	PA	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Bill James	--	135	33	4	14	73	14	7	.296	.371	.478	.849
CHONE	--	119	26	3	10	60	8	4	.270	.336	.410	.746
Marcel	276	71	15	3	6	39	3	2	.293	.371	.455	.825
Oliver	568	145	32	3	15	--	--	--	.281	.331	.444	.775
AVG	422.00	117.50	26.50	3.25	11.25	57.33	8.33	4.33	.285	.352	.447	.799

The big difference is that two see a good OBP and two not so good, and that's what they'll be looking for mostly from him.

[nymr83]

heres hoping james is right

[metsmarathon]

System	PA	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Pecota	548	134	28	3	12	62	9	4	.263	.327	.405	.732

pecota seems to agree with chone. boo pecota!

his comparables, fwiw, are Frank Catalanotto, Brad Mills, Mike Lamb, and Matt Stairs

[Frayed Knot]

Considering that his best OBA in the minors was .374 (350 ABs in AA in '08) and his career for the minors was .352, those .370+ projections are probably a bit generous for what will be essentially his rookie year - even based on the near .400 level during his brief ML audition.