Francisco Lindor Has Thrown His Own Punch At Father Time

[Andres Chavez]

Image courtesy of © Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images

Decline is every superstar’s worst fear. Father Time, after all, remains undefeated in professional sports, and every player, impactful or not, will start experiencing skills erosion at some point. Francisco Lindor of the New York Mets is no exception.

No, we don’t necessarily think Lindor has reached the point of no return. He has had a rough year from the word "go," getting hamate bone surgery done in February and racing against time just to be ready for the start of the season. Then, he suffered a moderate left calf strain in late April.

Lindor is hitting a rather mediocre .228/.312/.422 with 16 home runs and a 105 wRC+. In the second half, however, the 32-year-old shortstop is slashing a much better .238/.324/.464 with a 118 wRC+. Since the start of July, he has hit 13 home runs, so he has gotten better as he has been further removed from his injuries.

Funnily enough, Lindor hasn't necessarily rediscovered his peak form since the All-Star break, with a 46 percent hard-hit rate in the second half. That would be well above the league average, but it’s actually lower than his 50 percent mark in the first half. So, why has he been able to put up some impressive power numbers after the Midsummer Classic? Well, basically, it's because he has taken the power-hitting book and applied its two most basic principles: pulling the ball very often and lifting it.

Breaking Down Francisco Lindor's Latest Makeover 

For the season, Lindor has a 0.78 ground-ball-fly ball ratio and a 49.8 percent pull rate per FanGraphs. The latter is actually a career-high. He has taken things to another level since the All-Star Game, though.

After the break, he has hit 0.61 balls in the ground for every fly ball and has a pull rate of 51.1 percent. Hitting the ball in the air and pulling it has given a lot of folks a remarkable career at the MLB level, but it’s much harder to achieve than it seems, at least consistently. Lindor, a seasoned and talented veteran who knows everything there’s to know about the game and the nuances of hitting, is doing it.

What’s the sacrifice with this approach? Contact, essentially, and a lower batting average as a direct consequence. Basically, his power is up, and his batting average is down. Even if his overall production has been undoubtedly better since the break, his average is still a rather low .238. Is this the new Lindor, though? Is it safe to assume this is what we will see from him as he ages?

It all depends on health, specifically given the injuries sustained this season. Calf strains are particularly tricky and can limit lower-body explosiveness, and hamate bone surgery almost always saps power in the following weeks or months because the muscles and tendons around the area are debilitated.

Perhaps a healthier Lindor can produce closer to what he has done for his entire career rather than this low-average, high-power version. Or, maybe he decides this is the best path for him going forward. Perhaps this is what his body will allow him to do from this point on. Home runs are, after all, the quickest avenue to run production in the majors.

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[MFS62]

Nice article.

I'm curious what age has done to his fielding. Has his range decreased at all? A little? Down to Jeter range? What do the numbers say?

Later