IGT 06/19 - NYM @ COL - Are We Ourselves?

[batmagadanleadoff]

Edgy MD wrote: Forgetting about the fact that this is a pitcher struggling with his control, if he takes the and it's a strike right down the pipe his On-Base-Percentage going forward from there is still .387. But put that ball in play, and his OBP (and batting average) is .338.

I'll bet it's a lot higher in Denver.

[Ceetar]

Edgy MD wrote: Based on 2018 numbers, once a guy reaches 2-0, his OBP for the at-bat is .506, with a .225 walk rate. At this point, he has already kind of won the at-bat, tilting the odds from the pitcher's favor to his own, when all he has to do is get on any way he can. Forgetting about the fact that this is a pitcher struggling with his control, if he takes the and it's a strike right down the pipe his On-Base-Percentage going forward from there is still .387. But put that ball in play, and his OBP (and batting average) is .338. Leave the bat on your shoulder! Make him throw a strike! Science!

so literally more batters get hits after 2-0 than end up walking.

I'm not sure .387 vs .338 is worth an automatic take on 2-0 if you identify the pitch as hittable. I wonder what those splits are when the third pitch is in the zone.

[Benjamin Grimm]