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Everything posted by Ceetar
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seawolf17 wrote: Worley's gonna channel Jason Jennings and throw seven innings of three-hit ball. /sigh That's fine. Those 3-hits will all be home runs after walks.
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Edgy DC wrote: What's with the patches getting the Anaheim/Tampa game in the central Texas and the Lake Erie regions? Lake Erie region is weird, but I guess they decided the Cleveland area would rather watch the AL game. the same with the Rangers area, plus the Angels are a division rival. There are apparently enough Mets fans in south florida to get the Florida game over extending the Tampa area all the way south.
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Per Rotoworld on April 15th: Fernando Martinez has been placed on Triple-A Buffalo's disabled list with a right hamstring strain. It's not known at this point how long he might be sidelined. Mets GM Sandy Alderson has expressed a desire to keep F-Mart at Triple-A for most, if not all, of the 2011 season, after the 22-year-old had been previously rushed to the majors. Well yes, but most of 2011 would classify through July if he's hitting .400. he had 2 hits and 3 RBIs last night. Still only had a couple of handfuls of AB this year though.
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Edgy DC wrote: The thing is those at-bats by rights belong to Fartinez. Just got to get the man healthy. He is healthy and killing it right? I really love Beltran, but the absolute ideal situation this year might b e that he continues to destroy the ball in AAA, stays healthy, and takes Beltran's spot in late July when we make a 2004 RedSox/Nomaresque trade to fill some holes.
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Baseball things you're embarrassed to admit you don't know
Ceetar replied to Theoldmole's topic in New York Mets Talk
I haven't embraced the new stats at all. I would have loved them if they had come out about twenty years earlier. I don't question their value, I just haven't devoted myself to becoming familiar with them. I don't see the logic in adding OBP to SLG. I understand the motivation in combining them, but adding them doesn't make sense to me. When displaying "triple slash" stats, I know that batting average is first, but I'm unsure if Slugging comes before or after OBP. AVG/OBP/SLG. There is debate on just how valuable OBP is over SLG. But it's not 1:1 and adding them is somewhat infair to high walk/less power hitters. I spent a lot of last year trying to further my understanding of some of the advance stats. I have some huge reservations and i keep meaning to write them up in coherent articles, but I tend to get sidetracked. -
Murphy 3.0 Dickey 1.5 Bay 1.0 Davis 1.0 Turner 1.0 Reyes 1.0 Thole 0.5 Hu 0.5 Rodriguez 0.5
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Baseball things you're embarrassed to admit you don't know
Ceetar replied to Theoldmole's topic in New York Mets Talk
metirish wrote: I nearly always get RF and LF mixed up. Left field is where odd things come from. Right field is sponsored by Modells. -
Baseball things you're embarrassed to admit you don't know
Ceetar replied to Theoldmole's topic in New York Mets Talk
Edgy DC wrote: I can tell a fastball from a breaking ball, but that's about it. Like Ceetar, I can't tell a slider from a changeup. I used to try harder at this stuff; when I'd watch I'd try to think along with the pitcher and catcher regarding pitch selection and location, but I gave that up long ago. I now watch a lot more passively. Sliders come in harder and have more right-to-left movement (or left to right for a lefty). Curves and changeups break downward. Broadly, rom a righthanded pitcher's point of view, Sliders go from 2 o'clock toward 8 o'clock; Curves go from 1 o'clock toward 7 o' clock; and changeups from 12 o'clock toward 6 o'clock understanding and identifying are two different things. Then you mix in cut fastballs, or other fastballs that have movement to them. Or 2-seam (which are generally sinkers right?) fastballs and 4-seams. -
Baseball things you're embarrassed to admit you don't know
Ceetar replied to Theoldmole's topic in New York Mets Talk
attgig wrote: I'm with you on figuring out which pitch is which. I also suck at really understanding the balk rule. the only two scenarios are if the pitcher doesn't come to a complete stop before pitching, and the 45 degree step towards first base. are there other rules? i know there are other rules, but that's all i know... I think there are 11. I certainly don't know them all. Nor do they seem to all be enforced. Like the check-swing rule (which they seem to be very unforgiving with this year) it's very subjectively enforced. -
G-Fafif wrote: Ashie62 wrote: I see the article says 200 Million gets 49% of the team..Didn't this start with 200 million getting 20-25% of the team? And if that's not enough, call in the next ten minutes, and we'll throw in this amazing reading lamp! The Wilpons want 200 million. That's the number they've decided they need to get things running smoothly. The 20-49% is what will be negotiated with the buyer, which is presumably what they're doing now. What percentage of Mr. Met they get is undetermined.
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Baseball things you're embarrassed to admit you don't know
Ceetar replied to Theoldmole's topic in New York Mets Talk
TheOldMole wrote: What's a vesting option? I know in general it means more money for someone. That's more a contract thing than a baseball thing. I wouldn't feel bad. Vesting options are clauses in contracts that 'vest' or 'activate' when the player hits a milestone. It cannot be based on statistics, but apparently games started and games finished and games played are not statistics. Cora had a vesting option last year for games played. If he was announced into the game at any time, it ticked up that number. If it hit the magic number in the contract, the second year of his contract for 2011 became guarenteed, esentially making his contract a 2 year one. The same for Frankie this year. If he finishes (I think it was 110 over two years?) 55 games this year, and is declared healthy, his option year for next year becomes guarenteed. Even if it doesn't, the Mets need to pay him 3.5 million to not activate the option, meaning unless they trade him or work out an extension in lieu of the option year, he's owed at least 3.5 million even if they let him walk away. As for me, I'm really bad at pitch identification. I try to pay more attention to be able to tell a curveball or fastball in flight. (and obviously the curve is easier, but identifying it from a slider? or a changeup from a fastball) -
Edgy DC wrote: John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote: Reyes saved himself from ejection by thouhtfully bringing his helmet all the way to the ground with both hands, rather than the waist-high helmet free-bunce that's a sure ticket outtathere. I don't wanna be overly excited, but that's the kind of play that would kill the Mets for a week or more. To come back as suddenly and completely as we did, on the road, has to be the best Mets win since what? The Cliff Floyd/Marlon Andersin game? Hard to analyze the winnieset win, but yeah, that triple was so long coming, and then to have it whistled back was deflating as all git. For the team to say, "Fuck it, let's win anyway," well mit sure shut up the 27 Nats fans in attendance. It was a heckuva game to be at, and my seats were ridiculously sweet. Got half a mind to go back tonight. I was with my friend, Joe. Joe Capuano. That has to be worth something, right? You got a Pelfrey friend to go with tonight? Or a Mike? hey wait, can I come?
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metirish wrote: When was the last time the Mets swept two series in a row? I wouldn't be surprised if it was the otherthreadmentioned Cleveland Baltimore sweep.
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METS: Reyes-SS Murphy-2B Wright-3B Beltran-RF Bay-LF Davis-1B Thole-C Harris-CF Capuano-LHP Nationals: L. Hernandez-RHP Is Livan Bugs Bunny now?
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I read somewhere that the spreadsheet suggests the Yankees were exaggerating how many season ticket holders they have. (and for all the jokes about the Mets giving away tickets, the Yankees are doing the same thing.)
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr wrote: Ceetar wrote: I imagine it's in the Wilpons best interest to appear like paupers on their last inch of rope right now. In terms of the clawback, sure. In terms of virtually everything else? Oh, haaaaaayells, no. yeah, that's what I meant. I don't really care if they come or go, unless they start running the Mets like they are paupers, in which case I'll spot them the cab fare to Laguardia.
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metsguyinmichigan wrote: The reason I was skeptical was one of the school districts I cover was painting a dire financial picture pointing to what it considered a low fund balance and the trouble that could cause. But then we actually sat down with the budget and someone who actually knows how to read those things, and he pointed out that, yeah, the general fund balance was low, but that was because they diverted a bunch of money into different accounts set aside for different programs, and, in fact the district had millions and millions of dollars it wasn't telling folks about. Those were "dedicated" fund balances -- but there was nothing stopping them from using that money for any purpose it wanted. But it was politically advantageous to cry poverty (they were in the middle of a rough contract negotiation with the teachers.) So I'm always suspicious of such things. I imagine it's in the Wilpons best interest to appear like paupers on their last inch of rope right now.
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Gwreck wrote: Ceetar wrote: Also, the 25k (that might factor in the overlap of season plans that make up a full plan maybe?) figures represent tickets sold, which are presumably less valuable than actual turnstiles. 1. There is no "25k" season ticket base. 2. The Times reported that the Mets have sold 10,000 "full season-equivalents." That number includes all partial plans. Tickets sold is always a greater number than actual turnstile count. That seems low to me. I didn't think that number reflect the whole thing. was that 'resales' or new signups or what? my point was that the differential between sales and turnstile lessens when the team is doing well.
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smg58 wrote: Somebody needs to explain to me how the Marlins are playing so well with Hanley in a rut, Infante not holding up his end of the Uggla deal, and an assortment of third basemen who belong in AA. No one's fully scouted the random assortment of prospects and junk they're throwing out there. Give the league a once through and suddenly they'll st art plummetting to the 75 win team with a soft second half that we know and hate. Speaking of which, we play two games against them in May, but it looks like the other 12 games against the Marlins all come post All-Star
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If they continue this winning streak into July, I guarentee they'll make money this year. The article throws out "expected to lose 60million this year" and we're just supposed to accept it? I can believe they could definitely lose money this year, but will it be that much? I wonder how much each 'fan' is worth? given revenue and concessions and parking and ad views and whatever else. Also, the 25k (that might factor in the overlap of season plans that make up a full plan maybe?) figures represent tickets sold, which are presumably less valuable than actual turnstiles. An uptick in interest of the team means more of those 25k will get used (and more revenue by being _in_ the park), less will be available for resale, and those fans that normally would buy them may turn to the Mets to actually buy tickets first hand. I'm curious what the revenue swing would be from say 2.4 million fans to 3 million. At an (probably low) average of $20 a ticket thats 12million right there. Not including parking, concessions and telling Pepsi more fans are seeing your ads, give us more money for 2012. Much like it's too premature to completely write off the Mets as miserable losers this season, it's probably too early to project how much money they might make this year or next. It does seem like a lot of the Wilpons problems lessen with a winning baseball team. Who knows, reach September with the playoffs insight and you could get a lot of revenue via early season ticket signups with playoff perks.
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Besides exaggerating their losses this year based on an attendence drop in a cold rainy April, The expectation seems to be that the only income the Wilpons have is the Mets. They don't have to pay whatever the settlement ends up being from there alone, they do have other assets. Ones which the finances of are probably not as well known as the Mets. What percentage of Sterling is the Mets anyway?
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Ceetar wrote: I've got him in one league. checking, why YES, i've got him in the CPF league. and my offense is the reason i'm losing. so, screw you Uggla. Keep doing what you're doing, but hit a couple of home runs in losses for me will ya?
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soupcan wrote: If the ump knew right away that the call was bad, why not reverse it? He could make a whole show of asking other umps etc. I mean sure it would be embarassing and he'd have to deal with the Nats getting all bent out of shape but if he knew he made a mistake why not correct it? I don't think he knew so much as suspected. He probably didnt' get a good view. And the way Reyes flipped out (he was already asking for time) he must've suspected he made a bad call, but not enough that he was going to risk reversing it and getting screwed that way either.
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SNY mused that neither Reyes or Collins got tossed because the ump sorta realized that maybe he made a bad call solely on the suggestion of the third baseman. I credit him with not curling up into the fetal position though, because Reyes was livid. We're gonna get some nice screencaps from that one.

