MFS62 wrote: Edgy DC wrote: "Speed don't slump" is a pretty solid principle and I like it, but no more so than "You can't steal first." And getting to first is a skill that can slump. Moreover, speed may not slump, but it does get hurt and it does grow old --- earlier than other skills, typically. Exactly. Your Honor, I place in evidence Luis Castillo as an example of a player signed to a long term contract with a "speed game" who had few other skills to compensate when his speed eroded quickly. Later Reyes has a few other skills to compensate. You know how Reyes smacks the ball off walls for triples, or drives it into the gap? Reyes already has 3x as many home runs as Castillo. Castillo was pretty good defensively, but Reyes is better. Reyes is not going to stop hitting the ball well. His total bases numbers will likely come down, but probably not his XBHs. Now, he might not be worth 20 million near the end of the contract, but he won't be a liability.