Carrasco's https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/gl.fcgi?id=carraca01&t=p&year=2023game log this season shows that the games in which he's had the best bottom line are the games in which he gives up the most line drives. His games with the poorer bottom line have had fewer line drive. I don't know if that means he's been really lucky in his good games or really unlucky in his bad ones. Or maybe neither.