I probably have this wrong, as it is late and I am tired, but I calculate 64 possible outcomes. Assuming a 50/50 chance of either team winning each game, the [MetsBlue]Mets[/MetsBlue] come out on top in 34 of the scenarios (53.13%), the Reds take the spot in 24 versions (37.50%), and the Diamondbacks triumph in 6 (9.38%). That adds up to 100.01% but rounding does that sort of thing. The Mets would look better if they held any tie-breakers, but, alas, they do not. Of course, it is not a 50/50 chance of either team winning each game. The Reds and Diamondbacks are facing clearly better teams, but as they are also teams safely in the playoffs, they have incentive to give their starters short workdays. On the other hand, the Padres could still climb to a higher seed, and the Brewers could still fall to a lower one, so maybe they play for reals.