And even if the Pirates do the QO thing and get the pick from Melancon walking, what are the odds that the 35th or so pick they'll get out of that whole deal is going to be better than either of the guys they got in the trade? Felipe Rivero is still raw but is already in the majors, has a good left arm, and five more years of club control. The other guy, a former 5th round pick, is still in A-ball but is also a lefty and is off to a good minor league career. You'd like to think that a supplemental pick would at least have a higher ceiling than either of those, but more often than not they'll fall short.