It's always tough to know how to rate scouting/development. First of all, are they even the same thing? When a high draft pick fails was it a bad pick or did he fail due to poor development afterward? Was Heilman the wrong choice at #18 overall (he had been drafted 31st the previous year then went undefeated as a Senior at ND) or not handled correctly? Or was he a good pick that only briefly panned out? And then 18 picks later they chose David Wright who was apparently the right choice AND handled impeccably. But Wright being the better player clearly wasn't known at the time or they would have drafted those two the other way around and not given an additional 17 teams a shot at him. Getting off the Mets for a second, consider these groups: Group A) Joe Vitello, Michael Tucker, Jeff Granger, Dan Reichert, Jeff Austin, Kyle Snyder, Mike Stodolka, Colt Griffin Group Zack Greinke, Chris Lubanski, Alex Gordon, Luke Hochevar, Mike Moustakas, Eric Hosmer Group C) Christian Colon, Bubba Starling, Kyle Zimmer, Hunter Dozier, Foster Griffin, Nolan Watson If you're a normal baseball fan you probably recognize almost no one from Group A or Group C, yet almost all from Group B And just in case you haven't figured out where this is going already, those are consecutive top draft picks (from 1991 - 2015) for the Kansas City Royals And remember that the team's lengthy lack of success for much of that time made EVERY ONE of those picks (until 2014 anyway) a Top-10 choice in the whole draft, and 11 of them were Top-5s * Did they get smarter and then make better draft picks? Or did the picks themselves make them look smarter in retrospect? And if they were smart and developed the players well, then why were they not so smart both before and after? - cuz following nearly eight straight misses [Michael Tucker had himself a career, just not much of it w/KC although he did help them land Jermaine Dye in a trade] - they then hit on five in six years and hit YUGE on four of them resulting in two WS including one title (you may remember that one). Gordon, Moustakas, Hosmer and, to a lesser extent, Hochevar were MAJOR pieces in that crew and trading Greinke directly landed them Lorenzo Cain & Alcides Escobar, and, indirectly, Wade Davis & James Shields. - and then I guess they got stupid again because, for some reason, they stopped drafting future stars (although the door hasn't yet closed on some of the more recent ones) What is probably the most likely explanation for the above is that their hits and misses are par for the course over time (although with so many Top-5/10 picks you'd think you'd see better) but that the unlikely distribution of the successes -- bunched together as they were -- made them look like geniuses for a several year period and resulted in their championship run of seasons which in turn got tons of praise rightfully heaped upon their heads for expert player procurement and development; a condition which was absolutely true except for when it wasn't. * just for comparison purposes, while KCR was on that run of 18 consecutive Top-10 picks w/11 in the Top 5, the Mets had 8 & 2 over that same span Preston Wilson (1992 / 9th pick), Kirk Presley ('93 / 8), Paul Wilson ('94 / 1), Geoff Goetz ('97 / 7), Philip Humber ('04 / 3), Mike Pelfrey ('05 / 9), Matt Harvey ('10 / 7), Michael Conforto ('15 / 10)