The consensus of most baseball folks is that of course McGwire deserves to be in *If Not For* ... -- while Bagwell is going to be looked at more cautiously by many and outright dismissed by some. But if I were to offer you an exact clone of each - meaning you get the same strengths, same weaknesses, same injury histories, same career length, etc. - and say he's your starting 1B for the rest of his career, who would you take? The only stats McGwire leads in are HRs & SLG. Bags racked up ~1,700 more PAs & ABs, 700 more hits, 350 more runs scored, nearly doubled Big Mac in doubles while triples & SBs weren't even a contest. He walked more (even IWs!), struck out less, and had advantages in BA (35 pts) and OBA (14 pts) - and then we can throw in the edges in fielding (huge) and base-running (also real big - above and beyond just the SBs). I've been of the opinion for many years now that I'd prefer to have Jeff Bagwell v2.0 than the McGwire clone and I'd have a hard time thinking that my HoF ballot would be any different. Not that you can't say 'Both' or 'Neither' in an HoF ballot as opposed to the 'one or the other' choice in this hypothetical exercise, but I'd certainly list Bagwell before I'd list the big redhead and that's without even throwing the steroids thing into the vat.