smg58
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Everything posted by smg58
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I don't think 2 and 25 would be unreasonable for Kuroda. Reports are circulating that Ryan Madson is going to the Reds for one year and $8.5M. I think Alderson may have reacted too quickly in making bullpen moves.
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Martinez is out of options, so unless he made the team as the fifth outfielder, this was going to happen. Of course, going out and getting a fifth outfielder will necessitate somebody else being waived, too. I'd have given him the chance, personally. I don't understand why Carrasco is still on the 40. He'd clear waivers, unless somebody does us a favor. If he opted for free agency, we'd still save some money if he spends any time on somebody else's major league roster. Herrera may not be anything special, but he's more valuable than Carrasco. I'd hate to think we'd just let these guys get claimed when there may be room for the both of them.
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr wrote: smg58 wrote: The splits were pretty dramatic the last two seasons, although Torres was barely given any chance to hit righthanded last year. In essence, then, the split existed in 2009, and was reversed in virtually every other year he has played professional ball. 2010 is the only year he's had full-time at bats, and he had an .881 OPS vs righties and a .659 OPS against lefties. In the first stretch of his career (2002-2005), he was better against lefties but not particularly good against anybody. In his return to the majors in 2009, he had 71 very good ABs against lefthanded pitching, but since then it's been the other way around. You could argue that getting 301 ABs vs. righties last year, but only 47 ABs vs lefties, implied that his manager had very limited confidence in Torres' ability to hit lefites (and he only had a .550 OPS against them). At any rate, he's not a good bet to do better against lefthanded pitching than Hairston will, although he's probably not a good bet to hit well either way.
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He's better than Chin-lung Hu, at least. The Mets had room on the bench for a second reserve infielder, so I don't think this adversely affects Turner. I think Ryan Theriot would have been a better fit among the free agents, but not if he'd need a starter's salary. It's tough to get excited about filling out the bench, but I don't see the point of booing it either.
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The splits were pretty dramatic the last two seasons, although Torres was barely given any chance to hit righthanded last year.
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We needed a righthanded outfielder, and I honestly think the difference in ability between Hairston and somebody like Cody Ross is negligible compared to the difference in contracts they're likely to get. Hairston had a rough start last year, but he did all right ultimately and has a very good chance of getting regular ABs against lefties. Torres has splits like Pagan, and while Duda appeared to be greatly improved against lefties last year, it's fair to ask if he hits them well enough at this point to make his glove tolerable.
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Hairston is indeed coming back. Nothing to get super excited about, but the Mets needed a righthanded complement to Duda and he was actually pretty good once he got more regular playing time. I'd imagine Schwinden gets the first call on account of readiness, but that may change as the year progresses.
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It's close to being payroll-neutral with the cash the Cubs are throwing in, which would be a huge win for the Marlins if Z can actually behave himself.
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Ceetar wrote: Here's hoping he solidifies his Hall of Fame candidacy, in which he'd go in as a Met. This puts a damper in any hope he can absolutely destroy the Cardinals in the postseason again though. He could always go 0 for 25 with 6 errors. That would be pretty destructive.
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Edgy DC wrote: Bobby Parnell had a 5.30 ERA in 2009. He openly admitted he pitched his way off the team with a terrible second half in 2009 and a lackluster spring training in 2010. Farming him out there is not only utterly defensible, but it paid off, as he came back to the team a stronger pitcher. I said Parnell had a decent year in the pen, where his ERA was 3.46. As for spring training, Mejia's ERA was distorted because six of the nine runs he allowed were unearned, and his 9 Ks in 17 innings suggested that he wasn't ready to make bats miss at this level. I will not argue that demoting Parnell was indefensible, but Mejia should have needed to prove he was clearly the better option over more experienced players. He didn't, and his long-term upside shouldn't have influenced the decision.
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By jerking him around, I meant sending him to the pen and then changing course midseason, which I'll argue is worse for a young arm than doing one or the other, and also worse than starting the season with him in the AAA rotation and then shortening him up in August if the Mets needed pen help. I think the complaints had to do with the timing of it. It's not the idea of starting his major league career in the bullpen; there is indeed lots of precedent for that and the Rangers have lately turned it into a science. It's that he was very young and lacking in seasoning, he hadn't fully developed his arsenal of pitches, and he had given the Mets no reason to think that he was already a better relief pitcher than Parnell, who was demoted in his stead despite pitching decently out of the pen in 2009.
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I look at Flores as the same kid with undeveloped raw talent that he was last year. His top ranking was probably unwarranted, but the size of the drop may be unfair as well. A lot of people (myself included) were critical of the Mets' handling of Mejia in 2010, and while it's unfair to say that's what caused the injury, the critics have no grounds to consider a retraction. On one hand, pitching arms are generally fragile and young pitching arms are particularly fragile, so these things happen. On the other hand, the fact that young arms are particularly fragile means that jerking the guy around was the worst thing you could do, regardless of what you thought about the initial decision to put him in the pen. Has anybody since Reyes and Wright come through the Mets system and had a better career to date than Pelfrey? Maybe Kazmir, but I don't know if he's really had any more good seasons than Pelfrey and his career might already be over.
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Ashie62 wrote: They have talked about making the Bard the 5. Josh Reddick would have been a real nice corner for the Mets via Niese and something. Reddick's a solid fielder at least at a corner spot, but his upside as a hitter is below Duda's by quite a bit. Given the current market for cost-controlled starting pitching (and our lack of resources to find a replacement for Niese who's at least competent), I couldn't justify the "and something."
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Edgy DC wrote: I'm not sure I agree that a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush. Oh come on, that GEICO commercial didn't convince you?
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Milone is the key to this deal. Scouts don't like his velocity, but he's done nothing but produce in the minors and was decent in five starts for Washington. If he's a legit starter for Oakland this year, then they will have already recouped most of the loss. Otherwise, Norris has a K rate that's awful and getting worse; he's the kind of prospect I'd happily sell. Peacock and Cole have live arms, but a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.
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If you're going for overall Metliness over a couple great seasons, you'd have to put Kranepool at least ahead of Olerud. I keep forgetting that Kent was here long enough and (sufficiently decent) to merit consideration.
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batmagadanleadoff wrote: Second 50th Ann team. Here's where it gets interesting. Quibble away. C Jerry Grote 1B John Olerud 2B Wally Backman 3B Howard Johnson SS Bud Harrelson LF Kevin McReynolds CF Mookie Wilson RF Rusty Staub RHP Dwight Gooden LHP Jon Matlack (I would've went with Al Leiter, but JCL's song parody suddenly dissuaded me. Fuck You Al, and your sending away Kazmir ways and your buddying up with the Wilpons. And Fuck George Bush II, too) RrlfP Roger McDowell LRlfP Jesse Orosco Grote over Carter?
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Young has speed, he'd give the Mets an extra option at both second base and center, and his minor league numbers suggest he's capable of more than he's shown in the majors to date. If it doesn't take more than Turner, I'd do it.
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The change in ballpark won't help Latos, but he should still be an effective pitcher. That being said, the Reds paid for a bona fide ace and got a respectable #2.
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Niese is tough to figure. He has actually been pretty solid up to the All-Star Break in each of the past two seasons, but then the wheels came off. There's nothing really wrong with his basic peripherals after the break this past year (46 K and 9 BB in 46 IP, 5 HR allowed), but he gave up 62 hits and had a 5.67 ERA. The extra base hits did go up, though, so you can argue he was getting hit harder. It may just be a question of building up stamina, or being paced better in the early months. His pitch counts were generally reasonable, but perhaps the few games where he was pushed were a few too many -- and perhaps that ultimately compromises his value. The bottom line? He has enough talent and upside that teams have asked about him, and enough question marks to justify at least returning the calls. He could be a fourth or fifth starter on a good team, but I think the error bars are bigger with him than with most pitchers. I'd want a player/prospect I like in return, but he's too risky to be untouchable.
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I like Gonzalez. He'd be under control for four years, he's a reasonable bet to improve at his age (26), and he should be able to post sub-3 ERAs in an NL pitcher's park. (Fangraphs thinks he's overrated because his FIP has exceeded his real ERA by half a run in each of the last two seasons, but I work under the assumption that it's not a fluke if it happens twice.) Do I like him enough to satisfy Beane? I like Davis just as much, so unless it were Davis alone, I'd oppose including him. Our pitching prospects might not improve on what Gonzalez is now, so I'd have no problem at all including one. Any of our hitting prospects should be on the table too, as should our other first base options. Beane got a quantity of prospects for Dan Haren a few years back, and that's probably what he's aiming for here. I've seen people gush over his haul in that deal, but the only guy worth several seasons of Haren was Carlos Gonzalez, whom the great genius dealt for half a season of Matt Holliday.
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They found a place in Corona that makes halfway decent spring rolls?
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He pitched well enough at AAA last year to suggest he still has value. Not earth-shattering by any stretch, but I think it's a good pickup.
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That was my point. They're both better pitchers who signed for less. (Or the same, more or less, in Dotel's case.)
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attgig wrote: I think this has to be the weakest move of the day. a closer for 6.5 mil a year is fine. i can understand WHY you would trade pagan for torres & ramirez. But a middle reliever (I'd think Ramirez is a better setup option than Rausch) at 3.5 mil seems a little steep. sure he has closing experience, but he wasn't really good at it. I think Dotel or even Saito would be better for the price.
