Arbitration Projections

[Frayed Knot]

Someone, or several someones here, like to suss out these things ahead of time each winter.
These particular ones come via a projection system which the inventors claim has proven in the past to be quite accurate.

The parenthetical figures are each player's time of ML service expressed in Years.Days
It is thought that the 'Super Two' cutoff will be around the 2.120 mark but that hasn't been nailed down yet (not sure why) so it's possible that Robles at the end of the list there falls short
and won't actually be eligible this off-season.
Not that the Mets will necessarily offer arb to all those guys and of course any or all of them could settle ahead of time either with one year or multi-year deals.


Nori Aoki (5.148) – $6.3MM
Tommy Milone (5.113) – $2.2MM
Matt Harvey (5.072) – $5.9MM
A.J. Ramos (5.030) – $9.2MM
Jeurys Familia (5.024) – $7.4MM
Zack Wheeler (4.098) – $1.9MM
Travis d’Arnaud (4.044) – $3.4MM
Wilmer Flores (4.003) – $3.7MM
Jacob deGrom (3.139) – $9.2MM
Noah Syndergaard (2.149) – $1.9MM
Hansel Robles (2.127) – $1.0MM

[Edgy MD]

That's a lot of Ramos $$.

If they want to keep him, it may make it more palatable for the Mets to pretend they're paying Familia $9.2 million and Ramos $7.4 million.

[Centerfield]

Edgy MD wrote: That's a lot of Ramos $$. If they want to keep him, it may make it more palatable for the Mets to pretend they're paying Familia $9.2 million and Ramos $7.4 million.

Yeah, that's way too much for Ramos. Which I guess explains why Florida chose to get rid of him. I'm not impressed at all by the guy. 1.41 WHIP. Lots of baserunners for a "closer".

[Centerfield]

As a comparison, Addison Reed is 1.05.

[Ceetar]

I wonder if Thor declines again this year, or just rolls with it off a lost season.