2007 Mets Prediction Contest

[Guest attgig]

is it time to figure who's winning?

[Guest iramets]

How about now? Is it time yet? Or would you prefer we never speak about 2007 again? Maybe we could just *^&*%*&*(((#^ the whole season.

[DocTee]

I'm curious to see who won (but too lazy to do the work myself).

I do see that I predicted a sub-90 win campaign.

[Guest Rockin' Doc]

I'm bored. Since I'm not in the Parody contest, I figured I might as well take this on. I will post the results and announce the winner in a few days.

[DocTee]

Good man. The CPF appreciates your work and, seemingly, your lack of a social life.

j/k

[Guest Rockin' Doc]

Okay, I'm breaking this down by sections. The following are the correct answers for the team leader questions(#1-#27) followed by the names of correct respondents in brackets.

1) Games - 160 Wright and Reyes (Everybody got this one correct except for JD) He went wirth Beltran.
2) Hits - 197 Wright (Nobody picked Wright) - Most common answer was Reyes.
3) Doubles - 42 Wright (sharpie, Gwreck, Vic, RD, JD, Doctee, Ira, Marathon, GYC) - Beltran was a popular answer.
4) Triples - 12 Reyes (Everybody got this one correct)
5) HR's - 33 Beltran (sharpie, Transmonk, OO, marathon) - Most incorrectly favored Delgado.
6) RBI's - 112 Beltran (Ben Grimm, Gwreck, RD, OO, GYC) - Again, many favored Delgado.
7) Stolen Bases - 78 Reyes (Everybody got this one)
8) Caught Stealing - 21 Reyes (Everyone got this one except KC)
9) Runs Scored - 119 Reyes (Everybody got this one with the exception of Vic and Transmonk) They both went with Beltran.
10) Batting Avg. - .341 Alou (Vic was the only one that forsaw Alou's solid bat) Most others went with Wright (.325), but Alou easily met the min. 150 AB's specified for this poll.
11) OBP - .416 Wright (RD, Nymr, KC) - Beltran was the popular incorrect answer.
12) SLG - .546 Wright - (KC was the only one to get this one correct) Most missed with Beltran or Delgado.
13) OPS - .962 Wright - (RD and JD) Most voters incorrectly went with Beltran.
14) K's by hitter - 18 Delgado (Everybody got this with the exception of JD and GYC)
15) Walks by hitter - 94 Wright (sharpie, Nymr, Ira, marathon, GYC, KC) -Beltran and Delgado drew a lot of support.
16) Wins - 15 Maine and Perez (Attgig, RD, JD, OO, Ira, GYC) - Glavine garnered several incorrect votes.
17) Loses - 10 Maine and Perez (Ben Grimm, Vic, Attgig, JD, Transmonk)
18) K's - 180 Maine (sharpie and KC)
19) Walks allowed - 79 Perez (Gwreck, Vic, Attgig, RD, JD, Knot, Transmonk, OO, DocTee, Ira, Marathon)
20) Low ERA - 2.63 Wagner (Vic, Attgig, Nymr, OO, GYC) - Most went with one of the starters.
21) High ERA - 5.76 Mota (No one got this one) Most went with Chan Ho Park who was so bad that he mercifully didn't get near the 50 IP required to qualify.
22) Saves - 34 Wagner (Everybody got this one correct)
23) Low Batting Avg. Against - .200 Feliciano (OO and GYC) - Wagner (.216) was the popular choice.
24) High Batting Avg. Against - .358 Sele (No one got this one) - Most expected Park to get lit up by opposing batters. He did, but Park sucked to bad to ever pitch enough innings.
25) Starts - 34 Glavine (Ben Grimm, sharpie, RD, Nymr, Knot, Transmonk, OO, DocTee, KC) - Maine was popular among most other voters.
26) Pitching Appearances - 81 Heilman (Everyone got this one except for RD, Knot, and marathon)
27 Innings Pitched - 200.1 Glavine (Nymr, Transmonk, OO) - Maine was the popular choice.

That completes the team leaders section of the poll. Though it's early, the scores at this point stand as follows:
16 - Olerud Owned
14 - Rockin' Doc
13 - sharpie, Iramets, GYC
12 - Gwreck, Vic Sage, Attgig, Nymr83, Transmonk, Kid Carsey
11 - Ben Grimm, Johnny Dickshot, DocTee
9 - Frayed Knot, marathon

There's still a lot more for me to tally, but I will have the results up either later tonight or tomorrow.

[Guest Rockin' Doc]

Now for the second part which is selected individual players stats. A point was awarded to the closest prediction. The range of high and low predictions are included in brackets just for fun.

Reyes OBP .354 - .357 GYC (.380 Gwreck to .319 sharpie)
Reyes SB 78 - 71 Ira (71 Ira to 54 Nymr)
LoDuca Avg. .272 - .269 Nymr (.306 Transmonk to .269 Nymr)
LoDuca Games 119 - 118 Attgig & 120 Ben Grimm, Vic, Marathon (135 Gwreck to 110 Nymr)
Beltran HR 33 - 33 GYC (44 OO, marathon to 25 DocTee)
Beltran SB 23 - 22 RD, Transmonk & 24 sharpie, Nymr (33 Ira to 9 marathon)
Delgado HR 24 - 31 KC (44 Attgig to 31 KC) We really didn't see Delgado's slide coming.
Delgado K 118 - 118 Ira (160 marathon to 99 GYC)
Wright RBI 107 - 106 Ben Grimm (130 Attgig to 90 DocTee)
Wright OPS .962 - .960 marathon (.965 Gwreck to .680 RD) I'm assuming that was typo on my part. Otherwise I was done in by poor math skills.
Alou games 87 - 89 Ira (130 Attgig to 89 Ira)
Alou Avg. .341 - .325 Attgig (.325 Attgig to .219 Ira)
Green games - 130 - 121 Nymr (152 Transmonk to 70 Ben Grimm)
Green HR 10 - 8 OO, Ben Grimm (22 Nymr to 8 OO, Ben Grimm)
Valentin K 28 - 48 Ira (120 marathon to 48 Ira)
Valentin Avg. .241 - .241 sharpie (.275 Knot to .237 KC)
Chavez games 71 - 80 DocTee (135 Vic to 55 JD)
Chavez OBP .325 - .326 Transmonk (.350 Vic to .273 KC)
Franco Avg. .200 - .190 Ira (.280 DocTee to .050 JD) I'm not sure if Johnny saw Franco's total decline or whether his prediction was a typo.
Glavine IP 200.1 - 195 Gwreck (212 OO to 155 JD)
Glavine wins 13 - 13 Attgig, OO, JD, marathon (18 Gwreck to 11 Ira)
OHernandez starts 24 - 25 KC, Knot & 23 Attgig (31 DocTee to 12 JD)
OHernandez ERA 3.72 - 3.90 Attgig (5.26 marathon to 3.90 Attgig) - Overall, the Mets got more from OHernandez than any of us predicted.
Perez K 174 - 175 Knot (198 RD to 100 Nymr, KC)
Perez ERA 3.56 - 3.60 Ira (5.20 Ben Grimm to 3.09 marathon)
Maine wins 15 - 15 Gwreck, Attgig, JD (18 Ira to 10 Vic)
Maine ERA 3.91 - 3.90 Nymr (4.85 DocTee to 3.21 JD)
Wagner saves 34 - 37 RD, JD, Gwreck, DocTee (45 KC to 37 RD, JD, Gwreck, DocTee)
Heilman ERA 3.03 - 2.95 Attgig & 3.11 KC (3.90 Nymr to 2.10 sharpie)
Sanchez IP 0 - 0 KC (81 Transmonk to 0 KC)
Schoeneweis ERA 5.03 - 5.01 KC (5.01 KC to 2.41 Gwreck)
Chan Ho Park starts 1 - 2 Ben Grimm, GYC (22 OO to 2 Ben Grimm, GYC)
Pelfrey IP 72.2 - 74 Transmonk (172 GYC to 20 Vic)
Humber IP 7 - 12 RD (130 DocTee to 12 RD)
Martinez starts 5 - 5 marathon (17 Transmonk to 0 Gwreck)

No one predicted the 5 pitchers that would make the most starts for the Mets since no one named Sosa, who made 14 starts.
Named 4 starters - KC, GYC, marathon, DocTee, Ben Grimm, sharpie, Gwreck, Vic, Attgig, RD, Knot, OO, Transmonk.
Named 3 starters - Ira, JD, Nymr

Score for the selected individual stats section are as follows:
10 - Iramets
9 - Attgig, Kid Carsey
8 - Ben Grimm, marathon
7 - GYC, Nymr83, Rockin' Doc, Transmonk, Olerud Owned
6 - sharpie, Vic Sage, Frayed Knot
5 - DocTee, Johnny Dickshot, Gwreck

Through the first two sections the total scores look like this:
23 - Iramets, Olerud Owned
21 - Attgig, Rockin' Doc, Kid Carsey
20 - GYC
19 - Nymr83, Ben Grimm, Transmonk, sharpie
18 - Vic Sage
17 - marathon, Gwreck
16 - DocTee, Johnny Dickshot
15 - Frayed Knot

The team stats and standings predictions will follow shortly.

[Guest John Cougar Lunchbucket]

keep it up! Thanks for taking this on.

[Guest Rockin' Doc]

Now for the final section of this lengthy predictions questionaire. The results for the team statistics and season ending standings show the final total with the closest prediction noted. The range of high and low predictions are again included in brackets just for fun

Total Runs Scored by Mets 804 - 820 JD (911 sharpie to 757 Ira)
Total Runs Allowed by Mets 750 - 750 RD, Vic (876 sharpie to 671 Ira)
Mets Team ERA 4.26 - 4.23 OO (4.80 DocTee to 3.93 Ira)
Mets Team Avg. .275 - .274 Ira (.278 sharpie to .261 RD)
Mets record (wins) 88 - 90 RD (99 Attgig to 81 DocTee)
NL East finish 2nd - 2nd Vic, Ira (1st virtually everyone to 3rd DocTee)
Games ahead/back - 1 game behind the Phillies - 2 games back Ira (Most predicted a NL East crown for the Mets, some by as many as 8 games over the second place team)
Playoffs - None - None DocTee (World Series Winners by most here to no playoffs by DocTee) Unfortunately, DocTee was correct in predicting that the 2007 Mets were not a playoff team. I'm sure that even he wishes he had been wrong.

The final point totals earned for the this section are as follows:
3 - Iramets
2 - Vic Sage, Rockin' Doc, DocTee
1 - Johnny Dickshot, Olerud Owned

The final point standings for the 2007 Preseason Predictions poll are as follows:
26 - Iramets
24 - Olerud Owned
23 - Rockin' Doc
21 - Attgig, Kid Carsey
20 - GYC, Vic Sage
19 - Ben Grimm, Nymr83, sharpie, Transmonk
18 - DocTee
17 - Gwreck, Johnny Dickshot, marathon
15 - Frayed Knot

Thanks to all who participated in this thread and congratulations to Iramets (wherever he may be) for winning the 2007 Preseason Predictions Poll.

I will post a new and much shorter questionaire before the start of the 2008 season.