2006 ZiPS for Mets

[Guest Johnny Dickshot]

Note the disclaimer about PT, but this computer thinks O=good, P=eh.

http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/oracle/discussion/34502/

[Guest Edgy DC]

Well, I figgered out who some of the disparaging names applied to, but who is "The Run Fairy"?

[nymr83]

"awfulman" must be Cairo, not sure who "self" is supposed to be.
my 1st guess for "the run fairy" (Danny Gaves) is listed as is Looper, my 2nd favorite japanese punching bag is there too (Ishii) so i have NO idea who that is unless this guy thinks Mel Rojas is coming out of retirement

[Guest Edgy DC]

Cairo is listed as himself. "Awfulman" is Jose Offerman. "Self" is Todd Self.

RF may mean Aybar. I dunno.

[Guest Johnny Dickshot]

Run Fairy is Heredia

[smg58]

Wow, they really don't like our pitchers. Basically, all the starters get significantly worse.

I'd take that OPS from Lambin if he fills Marlon Anderson's spot on the roster.

[DocTee]

Five pitchers in double-digit wins and a sixth (Zambrano) just missing the cut... of course, there's more than a few with double-digit losses projected, too!

[Guest Edgy DC]

Well, the implication is that each of them could get those totals, given full-time usage. But only so many can really get full-time usage.

[Guest OlerudOwned]

Looking at the comments, it seems all pitching projections are rather unfriendly.

]So far, only Santana has a better projection, ERA-wise, than Pedro [3.20].

[Guest Rotblatt]

For some reason, Mets brass doesn't seem to like Lambin, which I really don't get.

Offensive projections seem about right to me, although I'm a little curious as to why Nady's so high. I think Beltran could outperform his projection, but I wouldn't bank on it.

Pitchingwise, I think Heilman & Seo are undervalued, and to a lesser extent, Glavine as well. I'm assuming, however, that they turned a corner last year, which ZIPS can't do . . .

[Guest Edgy DC]

Name               P    AVG   OBP   SPC   G  AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI  BB   K SB CS 
Delgado*           1b  .272  .385  .512 143 508  75 138 33  1 29 106  81 129  0  0 
Lo Duca            c   .266  .324  .365 138 496  50 132 26  1  7  59  37  44  2  4