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batmagadanleadoff

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Everything posted by batmagadanleadoff

  1. ="AG/DC"]I think the plural of Tatis is Tates. I think that the plural of this is Tates. Or this:
  2. Twenty or 30 plate appearances is significant when looking at monthly totals. Those additional plate appearances constitute between 25 and 45% of Tatis JUly plate appearances to date. Tatis is, for example, 12th in the NL in Runs Created for the month of July.
  3. I'm skeptical about Tatis winning the Player of the Month award. Although Tatis clearly has the best rate stats in the NL, there are a few candidates who have closely maintained Tatis' pace over 20-30 more plate appearances. TBD
  4. With his two for four last night including a triple, Fernando Tatis continues ro lead the Majors in Batting Average, Slugging Percentage and OPS for the month of July.* Tatis (14.79) also passed Adam Laroche (14.77) for the July Major League league-lead in RC27. Tatis' .486 also leads the NL in OBP for the month of July, second in the Majors only to Manny Ramirez (.494). (*Among players with 3.1 plate appearances for each game that their team has played this month.)
  5. Keith Hernandez is a Marx Bros. fan. Riffs on Hugo Z. Quackenbush. Gary says "Horse Feathers".
  6. That cartoon speech square should be round. Like a balloon.
  7. Here's a wiki entry for runs created: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Runs_created
  8. Benjamin Grimm wrote: How do they define runs created for the RC27 formula? Is it the old (R + RBI) - HR? Or is it something more complex? It's more complex. Runs Created formulas were originally reverse engineered by working with statistical season totals for leagues, and then working backwards to create a formula that would predict as closely as possible, the number of runs scored by the league. Statisticians preferred working with league totals because of the large sample sizes the data would yield.
  9. HahnSolo wrote: What's RC27? If that's a stupid question, please forgive my ignorance. RC27 is an acronym for "Runs Created over 27 outs". Tatis' RC27 for the month of July is 14.47. Thus, a lineup comprised of nine Fernando Tatis' would score 14.47 runs if given 27 outs at the rate of three per inning. I used ESPN.com's web site for the stat, and thus, ESPN.com's formula for RC27. Formulas for RC27 vary.
  10. ="batmagadanleadoff"]If Fernando Tatis had just one more plate appearance this month*, he'd be leading the Majors in Batting Average, Slugging Percentage and OPS for the month of July.** He'd also be leading the NL in OBP for the month of July, second in the Majors only to Manny Ramirez (.500 to .486) and he'd be second in the Majors in RC27, trailing Adam Laroche (14.77 to 14.47) (*Tatis has 70 plate appearances in 23 Mets games played this month.) (**Among players with 3.1 plate appearances for each game that their team has played this month.) Update: Fernando Tatis is leading the Majors in BA, SLG and OPS for the month of July, and is leading the NL in OBP for the month of July. I simply credited Tatis with the extra At-Bat he needed to qualify and assumed that the extra at-bat resulted in an out. Tatis still came out on top in the above categories.
  11. If Fernando Tatis had just one more plate appearance this month*, he'd be leading the Majors in Batting Average, Slugging Percentage and OPS for the month of July.** He'd also be leading the NL in OBP for the month of July, second in the Majors only to Manny Ramirez (.500 to .486) and he'd be second in the Majors in RC27, trailing Adam Laroche (14.77 to 14.47) (*Tatis has 70 plate appearances in 23 Mets games played this month.) (**Among players with 3.1 plate appearances for each game that their team has played this month.)
  12. AG/DC wrote: You're making this a moving target. When Doug Sisk gets a 0.77 ERA, then we're in business. I wasn't equating Sisk with Eck. I thought you were equating Pitcher A with Pitcher B and answered (I thought, but maybe not) accordingly.
  13. ="AG/DC"]If pitcher B can walk that ridiculous tightrope all year, he's welcome to all the credit he can gather. Which shouldn't be much more than you'd credit Doug Sisk with. Otherwise, what's so special about Eck's 1990? If it's all about saves, than put this years' K-Rod on the pedestal -- the saves leader who just might be the 5th best reliever in the AL this season.
  14. AG/DC wrote: I referenced the win expectancy data to distinguish the leverage of the sixth from the ninth. Whatever the difference is, if there is one, shouldn't be credited to a reliever entering the ninth inning. Those differences, if they exist, are based wholly on the preceding action that occurred before the reliever entered. If we're clever enough to minimize the impact of, for example, RBI's or pitcher's W-L records because we know that those stats are based in large part on the contributions of many others, then we should likewise, not credit the closer with the win-expectancy percentages that apply to the closer's appearance. All things being equal, it's no easier retiring the side in the sixth inning than in the ninth. If Ramon Castro had hit three grand slam homers in the Mets last game of the season last year against the Marlins to force a tiebreaker, and then hit four more grand slam home runs over the next two tiebreaker game to propel the Mets into the post-season, you still wouldn't vote Castro for the NL MVP, would you? Don't the games played in April count the same?
  15. AG/DC wrote: Let's use the win expectancy finder. Win-Expectancy data, like leverage, yields its' own particular quirks when applied to save situations. These statistics will credit a closer who preserves a lead without much regard for the quality of the save itself. Consider the following hypotheticals: Pitcher A is brought in to pitch the bottom of the ninth inning with his team ahead 3-0. The pitcher strikes out the only three batters he faces, preserving his team's win and recording a save for himself. The next day, Pitcher B appears in the bottom of the bottom of the ninth with his team coincidentally also ahead by the same score of 3-0. Pitcher B yields Home Runs to the first two batters he faces and then walks the next three batters. Pitcher B remains in the game and strikes out the following three batters, stranding all three baserunners and preserving a 3-2 victory for his team. As you may have figured out by now, the Win-Expectancy points (or leverage data) earned by Pitchers A and B are equal notwithstanding the qualitative disparity in their performances. This is so because the teams in the two examples had the precise same chance of winning at the beginning of the last half inning and also, obviously, after the last out was recorded (a 100% chance of winning). Here, Win-Expectancy data is concerned mainly with the starting and ending points. Of course, there is very little similarity in the character of the two saves just as traveling from NYC to Washington DC is not the same experience whether you're a passenger on Air Force-One or an SRO on an Amtrak train. Now I realize that in 1990, Eckersley and Thigpen weren't throwing many -if any- games like Pitcher B did above. But still, relying on Win-Expectancy (or leverage) data as support for an Eckersley Cy, only seems to magnify the greater amount of influence a starting pitcher exerts over the course of a season.
  16. I still can't find any evidence of Schmidt participating in the '79 Japanese Tour other than that Mitchell & Ness jersey. I'm beginning to believe that M&N is mistaken.
  17. AG/DC wrote: Thus far... If you're gonna make a fancy box and all, then I'll vote properly. 1. Clemens 2. Stewart 3. Finley
  18. The Mets used three catchers this year with the initials of R.C. (Robinson Cancel, Ramon Castro & Raul Casanova).
  19. batmagadanleadoff wrote: batmagadanleadoff wrote: Reyes' Home Run would've been a Home Run in the Polo Grounds. Maybe not. I'm not as sure as I was when I first wrote the post above. No way that Hr leaves the Polo Grounds. http://www.andrewclem.com/Baseball/PoloGrounds.html#diag Roll your mouse over the Shea link on the right side for an easy Shea to Polo comparison. The position of home plate is identically situated in each of the stadium diagrams.
  20. batmagadanleadoff wrote: Reyes' Home Run would've been a Home Run in the Polo Grounds. Maybe not. I'm not as sure as I was when I first wrote the post above.
  21. Reyes' Home Run would've been a Home Run in the Polo Grounds.
  22. Reyes' double would've been a double in the Polo Grounds.
  23. Reyes' double would've been a triple in the Polo Grounds.
  24. ="batmagadanleadoff"]Carlos Delgado is still leading the NL in OBP for the month of July.* He's still second in the Majors, behind Manny Ramirez. Delgado's second in the NL in OPS in the month of July,* second only to Laroche. (*Among players with 3.1 plate appearances for each game that their team has played this month.) Delgado's still second in OPS (NL), but closing in on Laroche- 1.295 to 1.293 (2/1000ths of a point, or for you reductionists out there- 1/500th of a point. Delgado's tied with Matt Holliday for the July league lead in OBP (.484).
  25. Under Randolph, we'd get the same crappy fixture of a player institutionalized in the #2 hole. Manuel likes for his entire stable of crappy hitters to share the #2 hole. I'm still tolerating this tactic of Manuel's, (especially with today's collection of starters) because of the Mets injury situation, but in general, it's starting to annoy me.
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