A.J. Ewing’s First Impression Is Foreshadowing What the Mets' Outfield Can Become

While it's impossible to prove the correlation, the New York Mets have been playing better since top prospect A.J. Ewing made his major league debut. They have since gone 6-1, after beginning the season with a disappointing 15-25 record. He joins Juan Soto and former top prospect Carson Benge who all look to anchor the Mets outfield for years to come. Once Benge and Ewing really start to consistently produce at the big-league level, the Mets could have one of the best outfield trio’s in all of baseball.

Ewing started the season in the minors, starting with the Binghamton Rumble Ponies before getting promoted to the Syracuse Mets in late April. Between both levels, he owned a .339 batting average complimented by a .961 OPS. He racked up 13 extra-base hits while walking more than he struck out (22/20 ratio). Throughout his minor-league career, Ewing has made a reputation out of providing professional at-bats, hence his 14.3% walk rate and 21.8% strikeout clip.

Being an on-base machine -- favoring contact over power and drawing plenty of walks -- he’ll be a nice addition to a Mets offense that ranks 29th in on-base percentage (.295). This profile we’ve come accustomed to with Ewing has carried over the majors thus far. He’s already notched his first career home run and triple.

His bat speed is below average, only averaging 69.8 mph, which isn’t going to lead to much power in the future. His minimal bat speed is what’s behind his 46.2% of batted balls hit up the center. Ewing is only pulling 23.1% of balls, which is below the 37.4% league-average mark. As expected, he’ll likely be a guy who’ll be able to spray the baseball all over the yard with gap-to-gap power.

So far, Ewing’s average batted-ball exit velocity hasn’t been overwhelming, averaging 88.3 mph. You can see this translate from his minor-league play, as he only hit 15 home runs over four minor league seasons with a .290 batting average. 

Although Ewing may not blow fans away with his power, he’ll certainly bring a fun style of play to the Mets. On top of his aforementioned hit tool, Ewing has incredible speed, topping out at 29.2 feet per second thus far with the Mets, putting him in the 95th percentile among all MLB players. He’s considered a plus defender and should be easily able to man center field effectively. He won't produce a 185 wRC+ forever, but he won't have to thanks to his speed and defense.

He’s only played seven games but is sporting a .467 on-base percentage. Ewing’s excellent approach at the plate has translated well, as he’s walked seven times, equal to his number of punchouts. Ewing is doing a great job not expanding the zone only chasing 18.2% of the time -- way better than the league average 28.5% mark. He’s only squaring up 22.6% of batted balls but is still doing a good job making contact and limiting his whiff rate to 18.4%.

In just his small sample size, Ewing already ranks tied for fourth among Mets hitters with 0.4 fWAR, only trailing Juan Soto (0.9), Francisco Lindor (0.6), and Francisco Alvarez (0.5). Perhaps that's an indictment on the scuffling lineup, but it's also proof that the rookie has the goods to become part of baseball's most exciting outfield in short order.