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Ceetar

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Everything posted by Ceetar

  1. Sure it is Sandy, sure it is. For the last month, sure. Lot more on the road to a World Series than July 2013.
  2. Zvon wrote: Edgy MD wrote: Bud Norris to Orioles, for something or other. For some brand new Astros. for Hoes.
  3. Ike Davis' line since the break: .242/.390/.424/.814
  4. When I get famous my bit's gonna be "Ceetar used to dig graves!"
  5. G-Fafif wrote: That he didn't see Mejia coming is reasonable as far as it goes. Martino is now a columnist, not the beat writer; one assumes his own attention is divided. Oh, is he? Hard to keep these guys straight sometimes. I swear one day the New York teams should just create a third "media" locker room there are so many of them.
  6. He must right? He exhibits much of the same about-face fervor as a fan that watches in his "I'd forgotten all about that Meija guy, but then he had this one really good start and now I'm in love with him again and will project him to be as good as Harvey." bit. Maybe he needs to do some smattering. Smattering sounds like like something you put butter on bread with. I'd like a smattering of whiskey butter on that Irish soda bread please.
  7. Edgy MD wrote: Could he say one more time that Mejia was done? Clearly, that was an open questoin. Another person in the organization, speaking candidly because of a truth serum called anonymity, said, �he is farther along than Wheeler, at least with the secondary pitches. He doesn�t have the velocity that Wheeler has, but has way better command.� Until the seventh inning yesterday, Wheels had all the command you could hope for. He's a black and white guy (newsprint, haha..) so there is a phenom/bust line which usually simply means worth covering/not worth covering. Warthen's biggest strength seems to be teaching and refining new pitches. I hate his management of pitchers and preparation and mindset, but you can do worse than a guy who's at least helping his guys have as many tools in the bag as they can handle. (Although I've read that he hates curveballs and advises against using them)
  8. batmagadanleadoff wrote: Ceetar wrote: I believe the run expectancy matrix suggests that bunting with first and second and no outs actually leads to more runs than not. Impossible. I don't even need to look at any matrix to know this. How can an out increase the number likelihood of total runs scored in the inning? Unless the batter bunts with the bases loaded and the fielder takes so much time to get the only out at first base that in the meantime, all three runners score. You're right, but it's not that far off base. It's not a big different in expectancy and if you look at the second chart you'll see that in that case bunting makes sense. (Or, perhaps, that teams of that age bunted so much in that spot that it's skewing the numbers?) Now, 2013 is closer to the 93-'10 chart, but the last time I looked run scoring overall is down as compared to those years, which shrinks the difference even more. Add in Quintanilla/PH being below the average player and it's probably close to a wash. The chance you score 1 run DOES go up by about 5%, which seems a little negligible in my mind. It's not a bad call really, not one I'd make, but not a bad one.
  9. metirish wrote: Ceetar wrote: Omar Quintanilla. One way or another, Omar Quintanilla. Omar has become your bugaboo..... Hey, I got over 100 comments on my Promote Ruben article. Oh, one way or another. I'm booking a flight to Miami right now just in case.
  10. Omar Quintanilla. One way or another, Omar Quintanilla.
  11. Nymr83 wrote: Edgy MD wrote: I don't know. I mean, I'm against bunting, but let's not fall into the notion that who Lagares had been earlier in the evening against other pitchers (actually 3-3, with a walk, not 4-4) define who he was at that moment. As for walking the Q, well, there was a whole lot to be said for setting up the double play. Extra-innings are full of such stuff. That marathon against St. Louis that should have been Jerry Manuel's last game, it was going on all night. Guy reaches base, guy gets bunted over, next guy walked to set up double play. I look at Lagares as actually trying to bunt not just for a sac but for a hit there with the side effect of moving the runners up if he fails. i hate bunting, but this wasnt the worst bunt, particularly in a situation (already up 2 runs in the last inning) where increasing your probability of scoring 1 more run at the cost of your probability of adding more than that might not be the worst trade to make. I believe the run expectancy matrix suggests that bunting with first and second and no outs actually leads to more runs than not. Well, successfully bunting does anyway. But that factors in average hitters, not Quintanilla and we don't know.
  12. Frayed Knot wrote: Frayed Knot wrote: Fman99 wrote: Ike hanging tough with two strikes. Yeah, except that the result was ultimately unsuccessful and at no point was there hint that anything was in danger of being a hit. Well the half dozen liners. "Liners" is a very kind term for what Ike was hitting, and even if you want to classify them as such there was nothing that wasn't at least 20-30 degrees foul. The pitcher misses his spot by an inch and those are screeching doubles down the line. No, Ike merely hits a different foul ball somewhere Believe that if you like, but it's not true. An inch further on the plate and Ike crushes it. Maybe it ends up right at Stanton, but he was on the pitches.
  13. Frayed Knot wrote: Fman99 wrote: Ike hanging tough with two strikes. Yeah, except that the result was ultimately unsuccessful and at no point was there hint that anything was in danger of being a hit. Well the half dozen liners. The pitcher misses his spot by an inch and those are screeching doubles down the line.
  14. .232/.368/.339/.707 1 HR. 8 RBI. 2SB. 12 walks/17 Ks. (well, 13/17 now) Not great, but not real bad either. the .368 OBP is nice and it's a little higher now. Needs to start capitalizing on the selectivity and driving a couple more, which he has done the last couple of days. since the break .267/.389/.467/.856
  15. we're getting off topic, don't diffuse the Yankee hate. What type of horrible contract are the Yankees going to give Cano, their only good hitter, after this season? This is his age 30 season. 2Bman seem to break down at not too much later than that. (Look at Utley?) I haven't seen that many numbers floated recently, but he's gotta be looking at something significantly crippling to the Yankees right?
  16. Young (7) Murphy (4) Wright (5) Byrd (9) Davis (3) Buck (2) Lagares (8) Quintanilla (6) Wheeler (1)
  17. I don't watch ESPN, but there was this on For The Win by Ted Berg http://ftw.usatoday.com/2013/07/the-national-league-nearly-adopted-the-dh-rule-in-1928/
  18. Frayed Knot wrote: Well, the MFYs are paying ARod NOW whether he plays or not so this stalling act isn't saving them a dime. supposedly if he misses the entire season(due to injury) they can collect insurance money.
  19. my ideal i think is A-Rod being banned for the rest of the season, and the Yankees working out a Jason Bay deal with him so that he then goes to Seattle and plays for the Mariners, successfully, for a couple more years so that when he retires and, eventually, gets into the Hall it's as a Mariner. Then I could even like him again.
  20. Edgy MD wrote: Really? You know, if Yankee fans are defending Tino for being too righteously bad-assed for the wimpy simps that the Marlins must be, and the Yankees are simultaneously setting an offensive futility record, the only logical choice for the true Yankee fan is to advocate for him to replace Kevin Long as their batting coach. Well duh, the Yankees do like Marlins cast offs for coaches and managers after all.
  21. image from http://www.metstradamusblog.com/2013-articles/july/it-has-happened.html
  22. metsguyinmichigan wrote: Suspension could be coming down today. Supposedly there is evidence that he's been using for the last three years -- though I don't know how that lands him the threat of a lifetime ban. More importantly, are the MFYs officially the most roided up franchise? ARod Clemens Pettitte Giambi Boone That's not counting the scrubs, the Cervelli types. I'm sure you're missing some. Not to mention the old-timers that have been around since those free steroid years who claim they'd do anything to win.
  23. Frayed Knot wrote: Edgy MD wrote: Pitch five, called a ball. Yeah, Recker caught that one a bit awkwardly which probably didn't help. It's all about framing apparently. saw a clip somewhere of a ball down the middle called a ball because it tricked the catcher into lunging for it. That pitch selection to Yelich was weird though wasn't it? Particularly with the changeups?
  24. Nymr83 wrote: Thats another part of the OF discussion... who sits when Duda gets back? does Duda not play nearly full-time? Well, let's see who, if anyone, gets traded. Young probably with Eric subbing in for Byrd occasionally.
  25. Centerfield wrote: Hefner was clearly done way before he got the hook. Rare this season, but Collins has to take some of the blame for this loss. Ronny was pointing out about pushing guys past the point of fatigue at the time, but i think he was talking about Harvey and late September. But I guess with the extra day of rest Terry figures they can go longer in the game? But you do that when guys are cruising not push them to the fatigue point in pressure spots. I feel like that's where guys get hurt.
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